Changchun Xu

Changchun Xu


Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

5Years (2022-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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30 April 2023 in Remote Sensing
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
XLXiaoni Lei
Xiaoni Lei
CXChangchun Xu
Changchun Xu
LFLiu Fang
Liu Fang
LSLingling Song
Lingling Song
LCLinlin Cao
Linlin Cao
NSNanji Suo
Nanji Suo
Simulated historical extreme precipitation is evaluated for Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) models using precipitation indices defined by the Expert Team on Climate Change Detection and Indices (ETCCDI). The indices of 33 Global Circulation Models (GCMs) are evaluated against corresponding indices with observations from the Global Climate Center Precipitation Dataset (GPCC V2020) over five sub-regions across Arid Central Asia (ACA), using the Taylor diagram, interannual variability skill score (IVS) and comprehensive rating index (MR). Moreover, we compare four multi-model ensemble approaches: arithmetic average multi-model ensemble (AMME), median multi-model ensemble (MME), pattern performance-based multi-model ensemble (MM-PERF) and independence weighted mean (IWM). The results show that CMIP6 models have a certain ability to simulate the spatial distribution of extreme precipitation in ACA and the best ability to simulate simple daily intensity (SDII), but it is difficult to capture the spatial bias of consecutive wet days (CWD). Almost all models represent different degrees of wet bias in the southern Xinjiang (SX). Most GCMs are generally able to capture extreme precipitation trends, but to reproduce the performance of interannual variability for heavy precipitation days (R10mm), SDII and CWD need to be improved. The four multi-model ensemble methods can reduce the internal system bias and variability within individual models and outperform individual models in capturing the spatial and temporal variability of extreme precipitation. However, significant uncertainties remain in the simulation of extreme precipitation indices in SX and Tianshan Mountain (TM). Comparatively, IWM simulations of extreme precipitation in the ACA and its sub-regions are more reliable. The results of this study can provide a reference for the application of GCMs in ACA and sub-regions and can also reduce the uncertainty and increase the reliability of future climate change projections through the optimal multi-model ensemble method.

29 November 2022 in Remote Sensing
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
LSLingling Song
Lingling Song
CXChangchun Xu
Changchun Xu
YLYunxia Long
Yunxia Long
XLXiaoni Lei
Xiaoni Lei
NSNanji Suo
Nanji Suo
LCLinlin Cao
Linlin Cao
The evaluation of gridded precipitation products is important for the region where meteorological stations are scarce. To find out the applicable gridded precipitation products in arid Central Asia (ACA) for better follow-up research, this paper evaluated the accuracy of five long-term gridded precipitation products (GPCC, CRU, MERRA-2, ERA5-Land, and PREC/L) and two short-term products (PERSIANN-CDR and GPM IMERG) on different time scales for the whole ACA and two subregions, Central Asia (CA) and Xinjiang of China (XJ). Seven evaluation indices were used to evaluate the consistency between the seven gridded precipitation products and observations at 328 meteorological stations for 40 years from 1980 to 2019. The main findings were as follows: (1) Each product can correctly reflect the trend of decreasing annual precipitation in CA and increasing annual precipitation in XJ, except for ERA5-Land. (2) GPCC captured extreme events by 75.9% for heavy rainfall and 67.9% for drought events, and GPM IMERG outperformed PERSIANN-CDR with a capture probability of 61% for heavy rainfall and 50% for drought events. (3) Annually, except for GPCC and CRU without significant deviations (BIAS < 2%), ERA5-Land, GPM IMERG, and PERSIANN-CDR generally overestimated precipitation (20% < BIAS < 60%). MERRA-2 and PREC/L underestimated precipitation, with approximately −5% for PREC/L and −20% for MERRA-2. (4) Seasonally, GPCC outperformed the other four long-term products in all seasons with the lowest BIAS (<0.93%), and GPM IMERG (BIAS < 30.88%) outperformed PERSIANN-CDR. (5) Monthly, the areas with large deviations (BIAS > 60%) for the seven products were near the Tianshan Mountains; comparatively, they performed better in CA than in XJ, with BIAS approximately 20% for CA and 40% for XJ. Despite regional differences, GPCC performed the best across the five long-term products overall, followed by CRU, MERRA-2, PREC/L, and ERA5-Land. For the two short-term products, GPM IMERG outperformed PERSIANN-CDR.

4 July 2023 in Forests
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
FXFujin Xu
Fujin Xu
ZXZhonglin Xu
Zhonglin Xu
CXChangchun Xu
Changchun Xu
TYTingting Yu
Tingting Yu
As a distinct species in the Tianshan Mountains (TS) of Central Asia (CA), Picea schrenkiana plays a significant role in water purification, soil and water conservation, and climate regulation. In the context of climate change, rapidly and accurately obtaining its spatial distribution has critical decision-making significance for maintaining ecological security in the arid area of CA and the sustainable development of the “Silk Road Economic Belt”. However, conventional methods are extremely challenging to accomplish the high-resolution mapping of Picea schrenkiana in the TS, which is characterized by a wide range (9.97 × 105 km2) and complex terrain. The approach of geo-big data and cloud computing provides new opportunities to address this issue. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to propose an automatic extraction procedure for the spatial distribution of Picea schrenkiana based on Google Earth Engine and the Jeffries–Matusita (JM) distance, which considered three aspects: sample points, remote-sensing images, and classification features. The results showed that (1) after removing abnormal samples and selecting the summer image, the producer accuracy (PA) of Picea schrenkiana was improved by 2.95% and 0.24%–2.10%, respectively. (2) Both the separation obtained by the JM distance and the analysis results of eight schemes showed that spectral features and texture features played a key role in the mapping of Picea schrenkiana. (3) The JM distance can seize the classification features that are most conducive to the mapping of Picea schrenkiana, and effectively improve the classification accuracy. The PA and user accuracy of Picea schrenkiana were 96.74% and 96.96%, respectively. The overall accuracy was 91.93%, while the Kappa coefficient was 0.89. (4) The results show that Picea schrenkiana is concentrated in the middle TS and scattered in the remaining areas. In total, 85.7%, 66.4%, and 85.9% of Picea schrenkiana were distributed in the range of 1500–2700 m, 20–40°, and on shady slope and semi-shady slope, respectively. The automatic procedure adopted in this study provides a basis for the rapid and accurate mapping of the spatial distribution of coniferous forests in the complex terrain.

31 July 2024 in Remote Sensing
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
FXFujin Xu
Fujin Xu
WZWeijun Zhao
Weijun Zhao
TYTingting Yan
Tingting Yan
WQWei Qin
Wei Qin
GZGuanghe Zhang
Guanghe Zhang
CXChangchun Xu
Changchun Xu
Topography critically affects the occurrence of soil erosion, and computing slope spectrum information entropy (SSIE) allows for the convenient mirroring of the patterns of macroscopic topographic variation. However, whether SSIE can be effectively utilized for the quantitative assessment of soil erosion across various types of water-erosion areas and the specific methodology for its application remain unclear. This study focused on the quantitative relationship between SSIE, the slope length and slope steepness (LS) factor within various types of water-erosion areas across different spatial scales in China using multi-source geographic information data and technical tools such as remote sensing and geographic information systems. The results revealed (1) clear consistency in the spatial patterns of SSIE and the LS factor, which both displayed a distinct three-step distribution pattern from south to north. (2) The power model (Y = A·X^B) demonstrated a superior capacity to explaining the relationship between SSIE and the LS factors compared to the linear or exponential models, as evidenced by a higher coefficient of determination (R2). R2 values of different evaluation units (second-grade water-erosion area, third-grade water-erosion area, 30 km × 30 km grid, and 15 km × 15 km grid) were 0.88, 0.88, 0.81, and 0.79, respectively. (3) Despite a range of variances across various spatial scale evaluation units and different types of water-erosion areas, no significant disparities were evident within the power model. These findings offer a new topographic factor that can be incorporated into models designed for the expedited evaluation of soil erosion rates across water-erosion areas. Information about the proximity of the SSIE to the LS factor is valuable for enhancing the practical utilization of SSIE in the quantitative evaluation of soil erosion.