Rapid urban development in China has aggravated land subsidence, which poses a potential threat to sustainable urban development. It is imperative to monitor and predict land subsidence over large areas. To address these issues, we chose Henan Province as the study area and applied small baseline subset-interferometric synthetic aperture radar (SBAS-InSAR) technology to obtain land deformation information for monitoring land subsidence from November 2019 to February 2022 with 364 multitrack Sentinel-1A satellite images. The current traditional time-series deep learning models suffer from the problems of (1) poor results in extracting a sequence of information that is too long and (2) the inability to extract the feature information between the influence factor and the land subsidence well. Therefore, a long short-term memory-temporal convolutional network (LSTM-TCN) deep learning model was proposed in order to predict land subsidence and explore the influence of environmental factors, such as the volumetric soil water layer and monthly precipitation, on land subsidence in this study. We used leveling data to verify the effectiveness of SBAS-InSAR in land subsidence monitoring. The results of SBAS-InSAR showed that the land subsidence in Henan Province was obvious and uneven in spatial distribution. The maximum subsidence velocity was −94.54 mm/a, and the uplift velocity was 41.23 mm/a during the monitoring period. Simultaneously, the land subsidence in the study area presented seasonal changes. The rate of land subsidence in spring and summer was greater than that in autumn and winter. The prediction accuracy of the LSTM-TCN model was significantly better than that of the individual LSTM and TCN models because it fully combined their advantages. In addition, the prediction accuracies, with the addition of environmental factors, were improved compared with those using only time-series subsidence information.
There is a large amount of lakes on the Tibetan Plateau (TP), which are very sensitive to climate change. Understanding the characteristics and driving mechanisms of lake change are crucial for understanding climate change and the effective use of water resources. Previous studies have mainly focused on inter-annual lake variation, but the continuous and long-term intra-annual variation of lakes on the TP remains unclear. To address this gap, we used the global surface water (GSW) dataset and the Shuttle Radar Topography Mission (SRTM) DEM to estimate the water level and storage changes on the TP. The results indicated that the average annual minimum lake water level (LWLmin) and the average annual maximum lake water level (LWLmax) increased by 3.09 ± 0.18 m (0.16 ± 0.01 m/yr) and 3.69 ± 0.12 m (0.19 ± 0.01 m/yr) from 2000 to 2018, respectively, and the largest change of LWLmin and LWLmax occurred in 2002–2003 (0.45 m) and 2001–2002 (0.39 m), respectively. Meanwhile, the annual minimum lake water storage change (LWSCmin) and annual maximum lake water storage change (LWSCmax) were 125.34 ± 6.79 Gt (6.60 ± 0.36 Gt/yr) and 158.07 ± 4.52 Gt (8.32 ± 0.24 Gt/yr) from 2000 to 2018, and the largest changes of LWSCmin and LWSCmax occurred in the periods of 2002–2003 (17.67 Gt) and 2015–2016 (17.51 Gt), respectively. The average intra-year changes of lake water level (LWLCintra-year) and the average intra-year changes of lake water storage (LWSCintra-year) were 0.98 ± 0.23 m and 40.19 ± 10.67 Gt, respectively, and the largest change in both LWLCintra-year (1.44 m) and LWSCintra-year (62.46 Gt) occurred in 2018. The overall trend of lakes on the TP was that of expansion, where the LWLC and LWSC in the central and northern parts of the TP was much faster than that in other regions, while the lakes in the southern part of the TP were shrinking, with decreasing LWLC and LWSC. Increased precipitation was found to be the primary meteorological factor affecting lake expansion, and while increasing glacial meltwater also had an important influence on the LWSC, the variation of evaporation only had a little influence on lake change.