Collapse is a major engineering hazard in open-cut foundation pit construction, and risk assessment is crucial for considerably reducing engineering hazards. This study aims to address the ambiguity problem of qualitative index quantification and the failure of high-conflict evidence fusion in risk assessment. Thus, a fast-converging and high-reliability multi-source data fusion method based on the cloud model (CM) and improved Dempster–Shafer evidence theory is proposed. The method can achieve an accurate assessment of subway pit collapse risks. First, the CM is introduced to quantify the qualitative metrics. Then, a new correction parameter is defined for improving the conflicts among evidence bodies based on conflict degree, discrepancy degree and uncertainty, while a fine-tuning term is added to reduce the subjective effect of global focal element assignment. Finally, the risk assessment result is obtained according to the maximum affiliation principle. The method is successfully applied to Luochongwei Station, where the difference between the maximum value and the second largest value of the basic probability assignment is 0.624, and the global uncertainty degree is 0.087. Both values satisfy the decision evaluation condition; however, values of other methods only satisfy one or neither condition. In addition, the proposed method requires only four cycles to reach the steady state by fusing data of the same index, which has faster convergence compared with that of other methods. The proposed method has good universality and effectiveness in subway pit collapse risk assessment.
Collapse is the main engineering disaster in tunnel construction when using the drilling and blasting method, and risk assessment is one of the important means to significantly reduce engineering disasters. Aiming at the problems of random decision-making and misjudgment of single indices in traditional risk assessment, a multi-source data fusion method with high accuracy based on improved Dempster–Shafer evidence theory (D-S model) is proposed in this study, which can realize the accurate assessment of tunnel collapse risk value. The evidence conflict coefficient K is used as the identification index, and the credibility and importance are introduced. The weight coefficient is determined according to whether the conflicting evidence is divided into two situations. The advanced geological forecast data, on-site inspection data and instrument monitoring data are trained by Cloud Model (CM), Gradient Boosting Decision Tree (GBDT) and Support Vector Classification (SVC), respectively, to obtain the initial BPA value. Combined with the weight coefficient, the identified conflict evidence is adjusted, and then the evidence from different sources is fused to obtain the overall collapse risk value. Finally, the accuracy is selected to verify the proposed method. The proposed method has been successfully applied to Wenbishan Tunnel. The results show that the evaluation accuracy of the proposed multi-source information fusion method can reach 88%, which is 16% higher than that of the traditional D-S model and more than 20% higher than that of the single-source information method. The high-precision multi-source data fusion method proposed in this paper has good universality and effectiveness in tunnel collapse risk assessment.