Due to the limited availability of medical facilities and the urgency and irreplaceability of medical-seeking behaviors, the transportation processes used to access these resources inherently result in high carbon emissions. Unfortunately, pediatric medical facilities are among the least substitutable destinations, making it challenging to reduce travel-related CO2 emissions by traditional means such as decreasing travel frequency or optimizing transportation means. This study proposes enhancing the spatial allocation of pediatric medical facilities to effectively reduce travel-related CO2 emissions. This study selects 27 hospitals with pediatric departments in Tianjin as the research subject. It introduces a model for measuring travel-related CO2 emissions for pediatric medical-seeking, STIRPAT, and ridge regression models as well as conducts simulations under various scenarios to test the hypotheses. Therefore, methods for enhancing the spatial allocation of pediatric medical facilities are proposed. The results show that (1) travel-related CO2 emissions for pediatric medical-seeking are the highest in the city center, outpatient-related CO2 emissions surpass inpatient ones, and children’s hospital-related CO2 emissions are higher than those related to comprehensive hospitals, from which potential carbon reduction points can be explored; (2) children’s hospitals with multibranch and composite functional allocations can significantly reduce CO2 emissions; (3) comprehensive hospitals can further alleviate CO2 emissions from children’s hospitals by enhancing the medical level, transportation infrastructure, population distribution, and other spatial environmental factors; (4) from the perspective of low-carbon travel and equity, a spatial allocation strategy should be adopted for children’s hospitals that includes multiple branches and composite functions, while comprehensive hospitals should focus on service capacity, parity, supply–demand ratio, and the population density of children.
As global decarbonization strategies pivot towards the burgeoning sector of recreational mobility, the tension between the attractive force of high-quality amenities and the constraining capacity of transport infrastructure in urban parks has emerged as a critical planning dilemma for high-density metropolises. To disentangle this game mechanism, this study proposes a integrated Dual-Diagnostic Framework that synthesizes a modified gravity model, Grouped OLS regression, and an explainable XGBoost-SHAP algorithm to identify non-linear thresholds under spatial heterogeneity. Leveraging empirical data from Tianjin, a representative high-density metropolis, the analysis reveals a distinct bimodal distribution of carbon emissions from travel to comprehensive parks, confirming a fundamental structural divergence between urban and suburban mobility patterns. Crucially, the non-linear diagnosis uncovers a dominant Facility Configuration Induction mechanism within the suburban interface; here, park scale acts as the primary driver of excess travel, with its induction effect often overriding the mitigation potential of public transit until a specific critical mass is achieved. Consequently, the results identify a rigid threshold for bus station density alongside optimal intervals for park scale, providing quantitative benchmarks and differentiated governance strategies to resolve the paradox between park quality and carbon intensity.
The development of differentiated emission reduction strategies plays an important role in achieving carbon compliance targets. Each city should adopt carbon reduction strategies according to its carbon emission characteristics. China is a vast country, and there are significant differences between cities. Therefore, this study classifies 340 Chinese cities according to their carbon emission characteristics since 2020 and proposes differentiated emission reduction strategies accordingly. The results of the research show that Chinese cities can be divided into four categories, and they can strive to achieve their carbon peak targets by adopting differentiated emission reduction strategies. In the baseline scenario, Chinese cities will not be able to meet the peak carbon target by 2030. In the differentiated scenario, eco-agricultural cities, industry-led cities, and high-resource-availability cities will be able to achieve peak carbon by 2030. Unfortunately, resource-poor cities will not reach their peak. However, the extent to which their total carbon emissions contribute to the achievement of national goals is low, and their carbon emissions can be traded off for economic development by appropriately relaxing the constraints on carbon emissions. Therefore, in order to achieve China’s peak carbon goal, this study proposes emission reduction recommendations that should be adopted by different types of cities to form differentiated emission reduction strategies.
As a key branch of online-to-offline (O2O) retail, the online-to-home (O2H) model enables goods acquisition through instant delivery, fundamentally reorienting urban retail spatial configuration from “accessibility” to “efficiency”. Using Jincheng, the main urban area of Tianjin as a case study, this research formulated a Goods Acquisition Efficiency (GAE) index to quantify the time-based efficiency gain of O2H over the conventional OIS (offline in-store) mode. An integrated XGBoost-SHAP approach was utilized to examine the spatial variations in efficiency gains and their associated factors. The results reveal that: (1) Efficiency gains follow a concentric pattern, increasing from the core to the periphery (Inner: 0.18; Middle: 0.20; Outer: 0.26), suggesting that O2H provides more pronounced benefits in peripheral areas where retail provision remains limited; (2) The dominant factors vary across zones: environmental attributes in the Inner Urban Zone, transportation and economic factors in the Outer Urban Zone; (3) O2H and OIS exhibit a complementary rather than substitutive relationship—physical stores in inner-city areas can maintain their current configuration, while peripheral zones may benefit from enhanced O2H fulfillment or conversion to micro-fulfillment centers. The GAE index and zonal comparison framework offer methodological references for differentiated optimization of urban retail networks.
Leisure space configuration has been recognized as a spatial approach to reducing carbon emissions from recreational travel, but the role of perceptual factors in linking inter-facility distance to travel behavior is not fully clear. This paper adopts a “relative distance–perceived time cost (PTC)–carbon emissions” framework to explore their associations. Based on 20 recreational hotspots in Tianjin and 2372 valid questionnaires, we apply correlation analysis, mediation tests and regression tree segmentation for empirical exploration. Results indicate that the maximum distance between commercial and other leisure facilities (ShopMax) correlates significantly with PTC and shows a potential indirect association with carbon emissions. The indirect effect is significant for single-point trips (p = 0.006), while only directional trends exist for chained trips due to sample constraints. Optimal distance intervals present nonlinear differences across facility types: scenic facilities (ScenicMax) have overlapping perception- and emission-friendly intervals, whereas ShopMax shows divergent intervals for chained trips. The 200–300 m range is consistently found to be a high-carbon zone. This exploratory analysis suggests perceived time cost may connect spatial configuration to low-carbon travel. Differentiated layout strategies warrant further exploration for various facilities and travel contexts.