Extreme precipitation events have been occurring frequently worldwide, and their causative factors and convection initiation (CI) mechanisms have been attracting more and more attention in recent years. As a comprehensive study on the CI mechanisms of extreme rainstorms over the northern slope of the Kunlun Mountains (KLM), Xinjiang, based on both observational and high tempo-spatial numerical simulation, the major findings of this work are as follows: A cold pool (CP) was formed in the northwestern Tarim Basin under the influence of early precipitation evaporation, and it moved towards the northern slope of the KLM several hours before the CI. With the movement of the CP, a significant vertical temperature gradient was formed close to the leading edge of the CP, thereby enhancing local convective instability (up to ~10 PVU). In addition, the vertical shear of the horizontal winds at the leading edge of the CP led to a notable increase in the baroclinic component of moist potential vorticity, thus reinforcing the local conditional symmetric instability (up to ~8 PVU), providing another important unstable energy for the CI. In addition, the combined effect of the convergent lifting of a boundary layer jet (BLJ, the maximum wind speed below 1 km exceeding 10 m s⁻¹) and the significant frontogenetical forcing (up to ~100 × 10⁻⁸ K m⁻¹ s⁻¹) at the leading edge of the CP were the causes of the release of the unstable energies. Further analysis of the frontogenetical forcing associated with the CP indicates that the convergence (up to ~2 × 10⁻³ s⁻¹), diabatic heating and slantwise terms (indicates the baroclinicity and inhomogeneity of the vertical momentum in horizontal direction) were the major contributors, whereas the deformation term at the leading edge of the CP provided a relatively weaker contribution.

Snowstorms frequently hit large parts of the Northern Hemisphere, and their causative factors have been drawing increasing attention in recent years. As the first in-depth study on the mechanisms of a snowstorm associated with a low-level cold front (LLCF) and low-level westerly jet (LLWJ) in the western mountainous region of the Junggar Basin, Xinjiang, based on both observations and numerical simulation, the major findings of this work are as follows: At the early stage, instabilities were mainly dominated by inertial instability (II) occurring near the core region of the LLWJ, while the lower level was mainly controlled by the baroclinic component of moist potential vorticity (MPV2), which was mainly contributed by the vertical shear of the horizontal wind, which is also located near the LLWJ. At the later stage, II was released significantly, whereas the MPV2 still supported snowfall clouds. Further analysis based on the decomposition of the frontogenetical forcing required for the release of the instabilities indicated that the slantwise term was the major contributor, whereas convergence and deformation also played significant roles at low levels above the windward slope. The slantwise term resulted from the combined effects of baroclinicity due to the LLCF and the inhomogeneity of the momentum due to the LLWJ.

Statistical characteristics of atmospheric circulation patterns (ACPs) and associated diurnal variation characteristics (DVCs) of precipitation in summer (June–August) from 2015 to 2019 over the complex terrain in northern Xinjiang (NX), northwestern arid region of China, were investigated based on NCEP FNL reanalysis data and Weather Research and Forecasting model simulation data from Nanjing University (WRF-NJU). The results show that six different ACPs (Type 1–6) were identified based on the Simulated ANealing and Diversified RAndomization (SANDRA), exhibiting significant differences in major-influencing synoptic systems and basic meteorological environments. Types 5, 3, and 2 were the most prevalent three patterns, accounting for 21.6%, 19.7%, and 17.7%, respectively. Type 5 mainly occurred in June and July, while Types 3 and 2 mainly occurred in August and July, respectively. From the perspective of DVCs, Type 1 reached its peak at midnight, while Type 5 was most frequent in the afternoon and morning. The overall DVCs of hourly precipitation intensity and frequency demonstrated a unimodal structure, with a peak occurring at around 16 Local Solar Time (LST). Basic meteorological elements in various terrain regions exhibit significant diurnal variation, with marked differences between mountainous and basin areas under different ACPs. In Types 3 and 6, meteorological elements significantly influence precipitation enhancement by promoting the convergence and uplift of low-level wind fields and maintaining high relative humidity (RH). The Altay Mountains region and Western Mountainous regions experience dominant westerly winds under these conditions, while the Junggar Basin and Ili River Valley regions benefit from counterclockwise water vapor transport associated with the Iranian Subtropical High in Type 6, which increases RH. Collectively, these factors facilitate the formation and development of precipitation.

Investigating the diurnal variation characteristics of precipitation (DVCP) in Xinjiang, an arid region of Northwest China, is essential for improving water resource management and disaster mitigation strategies. This study examines the DVCP associated with diverse underlying surfaces in Eastern Xinjiang (EX)—one of the most arid regions in China—during summer (June–August) from 2015 to 2019, using hourly simulation data from the real-time forecasting system of Nanjing University (WRF_NJU). Evaluation against automatic weather station (AWS) observations indicates that WRF_NJU outperforms reanalysis (ERA5), satellite (CMORPH), and MESWEP datasets, demonstrating its reliability for regional precipitation analysis. Further investigation reveals that in the Turpan-Hami Basin (THB), below 1000 m above sea level (ASL), peaks in precipitation amount (PA), intensity (PI), and frequency (PF) occur at 06 local solar time (LST), whereas in mountainous areas above 3000 m ASL, these peaks are delayed until 13 LST. Analysis of the coefficient of variation (CV) shows that the most pronounced differences in DVCP between mountainous and basin regions are associated with PF and PI. Specifically, regions with high CV for PF are concentrated in the central to northern parts of the THB, while high CV for PI is found in the eastern Mid-Tianshan Mountains (MTM) and East Tianshan Mountains (ETM). Moreover, significant differences in DVCP are observed across land surface types: PA peaks over grasslands, forests, and water bodies occur around noon, whereas over impervious surfaces, croplands, and barren areas, they occur during the early morning hours.