Container ports are prone to delays, congestion, and logistics interruptions under the perturbation of uncertain events inside and outside the system. This not only affects the service quality of the system but also brings a serious blow to the whole transportation network. Therefore, this paper aims to develop a hybrid Bayesian network (BN) model to investigate the failure mechanism of the container port logistics system. Considering the complex coupling relationship between failure risks, the DEMATEL and ISM methods are presented to thoroughly analyze the interdependence and hierarchical structure of system failure factors. The failure evolution mechanism of the system is then analyzed using BN reasoning ability. The suggested hybrid model can identify the main failure factors, examine how factors are coupled, and produce the main propagation path resulting in system failure. The findings indicate that the risks associated with technology, facilities, and equipment are the most significant and immediate in the system; human risks affect all system components by acting on other factors; organizational management risks have a fundamental impact on the stability of the system; additionally, the uncertainty of external risks has greatly increased the variability of each logistics link. This study provides useful insights for port logistics risk management.
Because of the many limitations of the traditional failure mode effect and criticality analysis (FMECA), an integrated risk assessment model with improved FMECA, fuzzy Bayesian networks (FBN), and improved evidence reasoning (ER) is proposed. A new risk characterization parameter system is constructed in the model. A fuzzy rule base system based on the confidence structure is constructed by combining fuzzy set theory with expert knowledge, and BN reasoning technology is used to realize the importance ranking of the hazard degree of maritime logistics risk events. The improved ER based on weight distribution and matrix analysis can effectively integrate the results of risk event assessment and realize the hazard evaluation of the maritime logistics system from the overall perspective. The effectiveness and feasibility of the model are verified by carrying out a risk assessment on the maritime logistics of importing bauxite to China. The research results show that the priority of risk events in the maritime logistics of bauxite are “pirates or terrorist attacks” and “workers’ riots or strikes” in sequence. In addition, the bauxite maritime logistics system is at a medium- to high-risk level as a whole. The proposed model is expected to provide a systematic risk assessment model and framework for the engineering field.