Purpose: Sarcopenia is considered a negative prognostic factor in patients with malignant tumors. Among other diagnostic options, computed tomography (CT), which is repeatedly performed on tumor patients, can be of further benefit. The present study aims to establish a framework for classifying the impact of sarcopenia on the prognosis of patients diagnosed with esophageal or gastric cancer. Additionally, it explores the significance of CT radiomics in both diagnostic and prognostic methodologies. Materials and Methods: CT scans of 83 patients with esophageal or gastric cancer taken at the time of diagnosis and during a follow-up period of one year were evaluated retrospectively. A total of 330 CT scans were analyzed. Seventy three of these patients received operative tumor resection after neoadjuvant chemotherapy, and 74% of the patients were male. The mean age was 64 years (31–83 years). Three time points (t) were defined as a basis for the statistical analysis in order to structure the course of the disease: t1 = initial diagnosis, t2 = following (neoadjuvant) chemotherapy and t3 = end of the first year after surgery in the “surgery” group or end of the first year after chemotherapy. Sarcopenia was determined using the psoas muscle index (PMI). The additional analysis included the analysis of selected radiomic features of the psoas major, quadratus lumborum, and erector spinae muscles at the L3 level. Disease progression was monitored according to the response evaluation criteria in solid tumors (RECIST 1.1). CT scans and radiomics were used to assess the likelihood of tumor progression and their correlation to sarcopenia. For machine learning, the established algorithms decision tree (DT), K-nearest neighbor (KNN), and random forest (RF) were applied. To evaluate the performance of each model, a 10-fold cross-validation as well as a calculation of Accuracy and Area Under the Curve (AUC) was used. Results: During the observation period of the study, there was a significant decrease in PMI. This was most evident in patients with surgical therapy in the comparison between diagnosis and after both neoadjuvant therapy and surgery (each p < 0.001). Tumor progression (PD) was not observed significantly more often in the patients with sarcopenia compared to those without sarcopenia at any time point (p = 0.277 to p = 0.465). On average, PD occurred after 271.69 ± 104.20 days. The time from initial diagnosis to PD in patients “with sarcopenia” was not significantly shorter than in patients “without sarcopenia” at any of the time points (p = 0.521 to p = 0.817). The CT radiomics of skeletal muscle could predict both sarcopenia and tumor progression, with the best results for the psoas major muscle using the RF algorithm. For the detection of sarcopenia, the Accuracy was 0.90 ± 0.03 and AUC was 0.96 ± 0.02. For the prediction of PD, the Accuracy was 0.88 ± 0.04 and the AUC was 0.93 ± 0.04. Conclusions: In the present study, the CT radiomics of skeletal muscle together with machine learning correlated with the presence of sarcopenia, and this can additionally assist in predicting disease progression. These features can be classified as promising alternatives to conventional methods, with great potential for further research and future clinical application. However, when sarcopenia was diagnosed with PMI, no significant correlation between sarcopenia and PD could be observed.
Accurate prediction of lymph node metastasis (LNM) in patients with testicular cancer is highly relevant for treatment decision-making and prognostic evaluation. Our study aimed to develop and validate clinical radiomics models for individual preoperative prediction of LNM in patients with testicular cancer. We enrolled 91 patients with clinicopathologically confirmed early-stage testicular cancer, with disease confined to the testes. We included five significant clinical risk factors (age, preoperative serum tumour markers AFP and B-HCG, histotype and BMI) to build the clinical model. After segmenting 273 retroperitoneal lymph nodes, we then combined the clinical risk factors and lymph node radiomics features to establish combined predictive models using Random Forest (RF), Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LGBM), Support Vector Machine Classifier (SVC), and K-Nearest Neighbours (KNN). Model performance was assessed by the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC). Finally, the decision curve analysis (DCA) was used to evaluate the clinical usefulness. The Random Forest combined clinical lymph node radiomics model with the highest AUC of 0.95 (±0.03 SD; 95% CI) was considered the candidate model with decision curve analysis, demonstrating its usefulness for preoperative prediction in the clinical setting. Our study has identified reliable and predictive machine learning techniques for predicting lymph node metastasis in early-stage testicular cancer. Identifying the most effective machine learning approaches for predictive analysis based on radiomics integrating clinical risk factors can expand the applicability of radiomics in precision oncology and cancer treatment.
Accurate retroperitoneal lymph node metastasis (LNM) prediction in early-stage testicular germ cell tumours (TGCTs) harbours the potential to significantly reduce over- or undertreatment and treatment-related morbidity in this group of young patients as an important survivorship imperative. We investigated the role of computed tomography (CT) radiomics models integrating clinical predictors for the individualised prediction of LNM in early-stage TGCT. Ninety-one patients with surgically proven testicular germ cell tumours and contrast-enhanced CT were included in this retrospective study. Dedicated radiomics software was used to segment 273 retroperitoneal lymph nodes and extract features. After feature selection, radiomics-based machine learning models were developed to predict LN metastasis. The robustness of the procedure was controlled by 10-fold cross-validation. Using multivariable logistic regression modelling, we developed three prediction models: a radiomics-only model, a clinical-only model, and a combined radiomics–clinical model. The models’ performances were evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). Finally, decision curve analysis was performed to estimate the clinical usefulness of the predictive model. The radiomics-only model for predicting lymph node metastasis reached a greater discrimination power than the clinical-only model, with an AUC of 0.87 (±0.04; 95% CI) vs. 0.75 (±0.08; 95% CI) in our study cohort. The combined model integrating clinical risk factors and selected radiomics features outperformed the clinical-only and the radiomics-only prediction models, and showed good discrimination with an area under the curve of 0.89 (±0.03; 95% CI). The decision curve analysis demonstrated the clinical usefulness of our proposed combined model. The presented combined CT-based radiomics–clinical model represents an exciting non-invasive tool for individualised LN metastasis prediction in testicular germ cell tumours. Multi-centre validation is required to generate high-quality evidence for its clinical application.
Accurate retroperitoneal lymph node metastasis (LNM) prediction in early-stage testicular germ cell tumours (TGCT) harbours the potential to significantly reduce over- or undertreatment and treatment-related morbidity in this group of young patients as an important survivorship imperative. We investigated the role of computed tomography (CT) radiomics models integrating clinical predictors for the individualized prediction of LNM in early-stage TGCT. Ninety-one patients with surgically proven testicular germ cell tumours and contrast-enhanced CT were included in this retrospective study. Dedicated radiomics software was used to segment 273 retroperitoneal lymph nodes and extract features. After feature selection, radiomics-based machine learning models were developed to predict LN metastasis. The robustness of the procedure was controlled by 10-fold cross-validation. Using multivariable logistic regression modelling, we developed three prediction models: A radiomics-only model, a clinical-only model and a combined radiomics-clinical model. The models' performance was evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). Finally, decision curve analysis was performed to estimate the clinical usefulness of the predictive model. The radiomics-only model for predicting lymph node metastasis reached a greater discrimination power than the clinical-only model, with an AUC of 0.84 (± 0.17; 95% CI ) vs 0.60 (± 0.22; 95% CI) in our study cohort. The combined model integrating clinical risk factors and selected radiomics features outperformed the clinical-only and the radiomics-only prediction models and showed good discrimination with an area under the curve of 0.94 ( ± 0.10; 95% CI). The decision curve analysis demonstrated the clinical usefulness of our proposed combined model. The presented combined CT-based radiomics-clinical model represents an exciting non-invasive prediction tool for individualized prediction of LN metastasis in testicular germ cell tumours. Multi-centre validation is required to generate high-quality evidence for its clinical application.
Radiomics refers to the extraction and analysis of a wide range of medical imaging features in a non-invasive and cost-effective manner to comprehensively characterise tumours. In this study, machine learning models combining radiomics and clinical factors were developed to predict retroperitoneal lymph node metastasis in testicular germ cell tumours (TGCTs), with the aim of reducing unnecessary treatment in this group of young patients. Ninety-one patients with surgically proven testicular germ cell tumours and contrast-enhanced CT were included in this retrospective study. After segmenting 273 retroperitoneal lymph nodes using dedicated radiomics software, we developed machine-learning prediction models using Random Forest (RF), Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LGBM), Support Vector Machine Classifier (SVC), and K-Nearest Neighbours (KNN). For each classifier, we developed a radiomics-only, clinical-only, and combined radiomics-clinical prediction model. The models’ performances were evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUCs). The RF-based combined clinical and radiomic model showed the most robust performance in predicting LNM with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.95 (±0.03; 95% CI), accuracy 87%, precision 89%, recall 86% and F1 score 87%, followed by the LGBM model with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.93 (±0.05; 95% CI), accuracy 83%, precision 87%, recall 80% and F1 score 82%. Decision curve analysis demonstrated the clinical utility of our proposed RF-based combined clinical–radiomics model. Our study has identified reliable and predictive machine-learning techniques for predicting lymph node metastasis in early-stage testicular cancer. Identifying the most effective machine-learning approaches for predictive analysis based on radiomics integrating clinical risk factors can expand the applicability of radiomics in precision oncology and cancer treatment. Multi-centre validation is required to provide high-quality evidence for clinical application.