Due to poor compliance and uptake of LDCT screening among high-risk populations, lung cancer is often diagnosed in advanced stages where treatment is rarely curative. Based upon the American College of Radiology’s Lung Imaging and Reporting Data System (Lung-RADS) 80–90% of patients screened will have clinically “non-actionable” nodules (Lung-RADS 1 or 2), and those harboring larger, clinically “actionable” nodules (Lung-RADS 3 or 4) have a significantly greater risk of lung cancer. The development of a companion diagnostic method capable of identifying patients likely to have a clinically actionable nodule identified during LDCT is anticipated to improve accessibility and uptake of the paradigm and improve early detection rates. Using protein microarrays, we identified 501 circulating targets with differential immunoreactivities against cohorts characterized as possessing either actionable (n = 42) or non-actionable (n = 20) solid pulmonary nodules, per Lung-RADS guidelines. Quantitative assays were assembled on the Luminex platform for the 26 most promising targets. These assays were used to measure serum autoantibody levels in 841 patients, consisting of benign (BN; n = 101), early-stage non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC; n = 245), other early-stage malignancies within the lung (n = 29), and individuals meeting United States Preventative Screening Task Force (USPSTF) screening inclusion criteria with both actionable (n = 87) and non-actionable radiologic findings (n = 379). These 841 patients were randomly split into three cohorts: Training, Validation 1, and Validation 2. Of the 26 candidate biomarkers tested, 17 differentiated patients with actionable nodules from those with non-actionable nodules. A random forest model consisting of six autoantibody (Annexin 2, DCD, MID1IP1, PNMA1, TAF10, ZNF696) biomarkers was developed to optimize our classification performance; it possessed a positive predictive value (PPV) of 61.4%/61.0% and negative predictive value (NPV) of 95.7%/83.9% against Validation cohorts 1 and 2, respectively. This panel may improve patient selection methods for lung cancer screening, serving to greatly reduce the futile screening rate while also improving accessibility to the paradigm for underserved populations.

Background/Objectives: Lung cancer screening can reduce patient mortality. Multiple issues persist including timely management of patients with a radiologically defined indeterminate pulmonary nodule (IPN), which carries unknown pathological significance. This pilot study focused on combining demographic, clinical, radiographic, and common circulating biomarkers for their ability to aid in IPN risk of malignancy prediction. Methods: A case-control cohort consisting of 379 patients with IPNs (251 stage I lung tumors and 128 nonmalignant nodules) was used for this effort, divided into training (70%) and testing (30%) sets. Demographic variables (age, sex, race, ethnicity), radiographic information (nodule size and location), smoking pack-years, and plasma biomarker levels of CA-125, SCC, CEA, HE4, ProGRP, NSE, Cyfra 21-1, IL-6, PlGF, sFlt-1, hs-CRP, Ferritin, IgG, IgE, IgM, IgA, and Kappa and Lambda Free Light Chains were assessed for this purpose. Results: Multivariable analyses of biomarker, demographic, and radiographic variables yielded a model consisting of age, lesion size, pack-years, history of extrathoracic cancer, upper lobe location, spiculation, hs-CRP, NSE, Ferritin, and CA-125 (AUC = 0.872 in training, 0.842 in testing) with superior performance over the Mayo Score model, which consists of age, lesion size, history of smoking, history of extrathoracic cancer, upper lobe location, and spiculation (AUC = 0.816 in training, 0.787 in testing). Conclusions: In conclusion, a simple reduced algorithm consisting of biomarkers, clinical information, and demographic variables may have value for malignancy prediction of screen-detected IPNs. Upon further validation, this method stands to reduce the need for serial radiographic studies and the risks of diagnostic delay.