The extreme sea conditions caused by typhoons pose a threat to the design safety of marine and coastal engineering structures. In the past, design wave height calculation models that only considered the frequency of typhoons ignored the influence of other hazard factors of typhoons, resulting in lower design standards. In this paper, typhoon frequency, intensity, and distance are selected, and dimensional influences of different factors are eliminated through standardization processing. Based on the correlation between different hazard factors, we have obtained a multi-dimensional discrete joint probability distribution of typhoon hazard factors and constructed a new design wave height that considers the comprehensive effects of typhoon frequency, intensity, and distance. Our results show that the design wave height values of the 50-year, 100-year, and 200-year events are 12.59%, 8.10%, and 3.14% higher than the Gumbel distribution, which is more in line with the distribution of the wave height of waves under severe typhoon conditions. The new model can fully reflect the impact of typhoons on wave height, which can provide a reference for the design safety of marine engineering in the South China Sea.
In the context of the increasing frequency and intensity of natural disasters, assessing the risk of typhoon disasters can provide significant assistance for risk control and emergency management of typhoon disasters. In this paper, based on the three-dimensional information diffusion method, the formal expected loss model is transformed into a computable typhoon risk assessment model. The fuzzy information in the small sample data is deeply mined, and the typhoon disaster risk assessment with the expected loss as the connotation is carried out, and the probability density distribution estimation of disaster-causing factors at different levels and the functional relationship identification between disaster-causing factors at different levels and direct economic loss rate are realized by using the information matrix. At the same time, combined with the frequency of typhoon occurrence, the annual risk of disasters is predicted to make up for the problem of insufficient marine environmental data and improve the calculation accuracy of risk assessment models. Taking Guangdong Province as an example, a typhoon risk assessment was conducted, estimating the probability distribution, direct economic loss rate distribution, and annual loss expectation of typhoon disasters under different wind speed scales and extreme wave heights. The results indicate that the risk estimation value of the three-dimensional information diffusion model is higher than that of the traditional model, which weakens the limitations of the low-dimensional information diffusion model and makes the evaluation results more reasonable and reliable.
1 March 2023 in Journal of Oceanology and Limnology
Floating breakwater layouts require flexible adjustment to accommodate sheltered area bathymetry. However, most studies have focused solely on straight layouts and have neglected the influence of complex nearshore bathymetry and structures. This work investigates streamlined-layout double-row floating breakwaters with wing plates designed for a specific port. Wave attenuation performance, motion responses, mooring tensions, and surface wave pressures under realistic nearshore conditions are systematically evaluated through a water tank experiment. The results demonstrate that the wave attenuation performance improves as incident wave height and period decrease, with the attenuation rate increasing by 6.32~11.05%. However, both the motion responses and the uplift pressures on the head and tail modules change slightly. The maximum prototype-scale changes in the maximum amplitudes of surge, heave, and pitch are +0.0625 m, −0.488 m, and +3.8523°, respectively, and the uplift pressures on the head and tail modules exhibit maximum changes of +2.3 kPa and −5.6 kPa, respectively. Additionally, wave reflection induced by nearshore structures influences both harbor tranquility and breakwater motion response.
The 7th generation semi-submersible drilling units (CSDU) are characteristic of deeper drilling depth, deeper site location and higher operational efficiency, compared with the last generation ones. Given the enormous live loads change and increasing trend of main size dimensions, considerable optimization should be deployed to achieve a balance of economy, safety and good work