A critical part of any risk assessment is identifying how to represent exposure to the risk involved. Recent research shows that the relationship between crash count and traffic volume is nonlinear; consequently, a simple crash rate computed as the ratio of crash count to volume is not suitable for comparing the safety of sites with different traffic volumes. To solve this problem, we describe a new approach for relating traffic volume and crash incidence. Specifically, we disaggregate crashes into four types: (1) single-vehicle, (2) multivehicle same direction, (3) multivehicle opposite direction, and (4) multivehicle intersecting, and then define candidate exposure measures for each (as a function of site traffic volumes) that we hypothesize will be linear with respect to each crash type. This article describes investigation using crash and physical characteristics data for highway segments from Michigan, California, Washington, and Illinois obtained from the Highway Safety Information System. We have u...
This article presents a new model for software reliability characterization using a growth curve formulation that allows model parameters to vary as a function of covariate information. In the soft...