The objective calibration method originally performed on regional climate models is applied to a fine horizontal resolution Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) model over a mainly continental domain covering the Alpine Arc. The method was implemented on the MeteoSwiss COSMO (consortium for a small-scale modeling) model with a resolution of 0.01° (approximately 1 km). For the model calibration, five tuning parameters of the parameterization schemes affecting turbulence, soil-surface exchange and radiation were chosen. A full year was simulated, with the history of the soil included (hindcast) to find the optimal parameter value. A different year has been used to give an independent assessment of the impact of the optimization process. Although the operational MeteoSwiss model is already a well-tuned configuration, the results showed that a slight model performance gain is obtained by using the Calibration of COSMO (CALMO) methodology.
The ICON (icosahedral non-hydrostatic) numerical weather prediction model (NWP)’s sensitivity is evaluated for the geographical area of Greece. As ICON model has recently been endorsed operationally by the Members of the COSMO (Consortium for Small-scale Modeling); this attempt is in line with the further understanding of the model features, especially in the considered domain, characterized by a complex orography as well as an almost equally partitioned land–sea surface area. An extraordinary number of 24 model parameters have been tested for the whole 2020 year in reference to 88 Greek meteorological stations, with regard to the standard synoptic meteorological variables of 2 m temperature, 2 m minimum and maximum temperatures, dew-point temperature, 10 m wind intensity and 12 h accumulated precipitation. For these variables, the model sensitivity is given in terms of the annual average of all stations for the fifth lead day of the model runs when the sensitivity is expected to reach its peak. It was found that there is a considerable impact regarding the minimum and maximum values for many of the examined parameters in reference to their default values, and consideration is given to a heuristic recommendation on the selection of the most sensitive parameters.
The study of atmospheric models and climate systems has been hampered by the restricted availability of wind profile measurements. By recording wind profiles in near real time and giving useful information for Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) models, the Doppler wind lidar technology used in the European Space Agency’s Aeolus mission is expected to unravel this problem. By analyzing the precipitation from IANOS medicane, which occurred over the Thessaly plain in September 2020, a case study utilizing the COSMO NWP model illustrates the potential usefulness of Aeolus data in strengthening NWP models. Run in hindcast mode and forced by analyses with and without Aeolus, the model assimilated data that were produced at the European Centre for Medium-Range Forecasts (ECMWF). Evaluation against observations from Greek synoptic stations showed that the model precipitation using the Aeolus-assimilated data preponderated over the model results without their inclusion. This work aims to demonstrate the additional value of the Aeolus project towards the expansion of our knowledge of Earth’s atmosphere, particularly the improvement of our capacity to estimate severe weather events via the use of Aeolus with NWP models.