Poplar (Poplus spp.) is an important forest species widely distributed in China of great significance in identifying factors that clearly influence its growth rate in order to achieve effective control of poplar growth. In this study, we selected 16 factors, including tree size, competition, climate, location, topography, and soil characteristics, to construct linear regression (LR), multilayer perceptron (MLP), k-nearest neighbor regression (KNN), gradient boosting decision tree (GBDT), extreme gradient boosting (XGB), random forest (RF), and deep neural network (DNN) models based on the poplar growth rate. Using model fusion methods, the fitting accuracy and estimation capability were improved. The relative importance of each variable in estimating the poplar growth rate was analyzed using the permutation importance evaluation. The results showed the following: (1) the model fusion approach significantly improved the estimation accuracy of the poplar growth rate model with an R² of 0.893; (2) the temperature and precipitation exhibited the highest importance in poplar growth; (3) the forest stand density, precipitation, elevation, and temperature had significant variations in growth rates among different-sized poplar trees within different ranges; (4) low-forest stand density, high-precipitation, low-elevation, and high-temperature environments significantly increased the poplar growth rate and had a larger proportion of large-sized individuals with high growth rates. In conclusion, environmental factors significantly influence poplar growth, and corresponding planting and protection measures should be tailored to different growth environments to effectively enhance the growth of poplar plantations.

The measurement of plant sap flow has long been a traditional method for quantifying transpiration. However, conventional direct measurement methods are often costly and complex, thereby limiting the widespread application of tree sap flow monitoring techniques. The concept of a Virtual Measurement Instrument (VMI) has emerged in response to this challenge by combining simple instruments with Artificial Intelligence (AI) algorithms to indirectly assess specific measurement objects. This study proposes a tree sap flow estimation method based on environmental factors and AI algorithms. Through the acquisition of environmental factor data and the integration of AI algorithms, we successfully achieved indirect measurement of tree sap flow. Accounting for the time lag response of the flow to environmental factors, we constructed the Magnolia denudata sap flow estimation model using the K-Nearest Neighbor (KNN), Random Forest (RF), Backpropagation Neural Network (BPNN), and Long Short-Term Memory network (LSTM) algorithms. The research results showed that the LSTM model demonstrated greater reliability in predicting sap flow velocity, with R² of 0.957, MAE of 0.189, MSE of 0.059, and RMSE of 0.243. The validation of the target tree yielded an R² of 0.821 and an error rate of only 4.89% when applying the model. In summary, this sap flow estimation method based on environmental factors and AI provides new insights and has practical value in the field of tree sap flow monitoring.