Although the demand for shoulder arthroplasties has reached its highest number worldwide, there remains a lack of epidemiologic data regarding recent and future trends. In this study, data for all shoulder arthroplasties (hemiarthroplasty, reverse/anatomic shoulder arthroplasty) from the nationwide inpatient statistics of Germany (2010–2019) and population forecasts until 2040 were gathered. A Poisson and a negative binomial approach using monotone B-splines were modeled for all types of prostheses to project the annual number and incidence of primary and revision arthroplasty. Additionally, trends in main indicators were also gathered and expected changes were calculated. Overall, the number of primary shoulder replacements is set to increase significantly by 2040, reaching at least 37,000 (95% CI 32,000–44,000) procedures per year. This trend is mainly attributable to an about 10-fold increased use of fracture-related reverse shoulder arthroplasty in patients over 80 years of age, although the number of procedures in younger patients will also rise substantially. In contrast, hemiarthroplasties will significantly decrease. The number of revision procedures is projected to increase subsequently, although the revision burden is forecast to decline. Using these country-specific projection approaches, a massive increase of primary and revision shoulder arthroplasties is expected by 2040, mainly due to a rising number of fracture-related procedures. These growth rates are substantially higher than those from hip or knee arthroplasty. As these trends are similar in most Western countries, this draws attention to the international issue, of: if healthcare systems will be able to allocate human and financial resources adequately, and if future research and fracture-prevention programs may help to temper this rising burden in the upcoming decades.
Background: Acute syndesmosis injury (ASI) is an indication for surgical stabilization if instability is confirmed. In recent years, fixation using the knotless suture-button (SB) device has become increasingly established as an alternative to set screw fixation (SF). This study directly compared the clinical long-term results after prospective randomized inclusion. Materials and Methods: Between 2011 and 2012, 62 patients with ASI were enrolled in a prospective, randomized, and monocentric study. Forty-one patients were available for a 10-year follow-up ((31 males and 10 females), including 21 treated with SB (mean age 44.4 years), and 20 with SF (mean age 47.2 years)). In addition to comparing the demographic data and syndesmosis injury etiology, follow-up assessed the Olerud–Molander Ankle Score (OMAS) and FADI-Score (Foot and Ankle Disability Index Score) with subscales for activities of daily living (ADL) and sports activity. Results: The mean OMAS was 95.98 points (SB: 98.81, SF: 93.00), the mean FADI ADL was 97.58 points (SB: 99.22, SF: 95.86), and the mean FADI Sport was 94.14 points (SB: 97.03, SF: 91.10). None of the measurements differed significantly between the groups (p > 0.05). No clinical suspicion of chronic instability remained in any of the patients, regardless of treatment. Conclusions: The short-term results showed that athletes in particular benefit from SB fixation due to their significantly faster return to sports activities. However, the available long-term results confirm a very good outcome in the clinical scores for both approaches. Chronic syndesmotic insufficiency was not suspected in any of the patients. Level of evidence: I, randomized controlled trial.