Extreme drought is increasing in frequency and intensity in many regions globally. Understanding the changes in vegetation resistance and resilience under aggravated drought is essential for maintaining regional ecosystem stability. In this study, a drought event–vegetation response framework was developed to explore vegetation resistance and resilience changes. The normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) was correlated with the standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index (SPEI) at multiple timescales to screen out the vegetation response time to drought. Then, the SPEI for the response time was detected using run theory to identify drought events during the period 2000–2017. Finally, drought-induced NDVI anomaly changes were identified using a sliding window to explore the changes in resistance and resilience to drought. This study focuses on Jilin province, China, which contains a famous environmentally vulnerable area. The results illustrate that the response time of vegetation to drought is 3 months. The northwest of Jilin province is considered to be drought-vulnerable because it has suffered the most drought events, i.e., 19–21 times, with severities in the range of 2.6–3.2 and durations in the range of 3.6–4.1 months. Grassland shows the weakest resistance and the strongest resilience, and tree cover shows the strongest resistance and the weakest resilience under severe drought disturbance among all vegetation. As the severity and duration of drought increase, the resistance decreases, and the resilience increases. During the growing season, the drought from May to July significantly impacts the vegetation resistance. Drought occurring from June to July has much less impact on resilience. Drought in August to September has less impact on resistance and a more significant impact on resilience. The results of this study may increase our knowledge regarding the response of vegetation to drought and guide ecosystem stability restoration.

Changes in grassland vegetation coverage (GVC) and their causes in the China–Mongolia–Russia Economic Corridor (CMREC) region have been a hot button issue regarding the ecological environment and sustainable development. In this paper, multi-source remote sensing (RS) data were used to obtain GVC from 2000 to 2023 based on random forest (RF) regression inversion. The nonlinear characteristics such as the number of mutations, magnitude of mutations, and time of mutations were detected and analyzed using the BFAST model. Driving factors such as climatic factors were introduced to quantitatively explain the driving mechanism of GVC changes. The results showed that: (1) RF model is the optimal model for the inversion of GVC in this region. The R² of the RF training set reached 0.94, the RMSE of the test set was 12.86%, the correlation coefficient between the predicted and actual values was 0.76, and the CVRMSE was 18.07%. (2) During the period of 2000–2023, the number of mutations in GVC ranged from 0 to 5, and there were at least 1 mutation in 58.83% of the study area. The years with the largest proportion of mutations was 2010, followed by 2016, accounting for 14.57% and 11.60% of all mutations, respectively. The month with the highest percentage of mutations was October, and followed by June, accounting for 31.73% and 22.19% of all mutations, respectively. (3) The sustained and stable positive effect was shown by precipitation on GVC before and after the maximum mutation. Wind speed was a negative effect on GVC in areas with more severe desertification, such as Inner Mongolia, China and parts of Mongolia. On the other hand, GVC was reduced by the wind speed before and after the maximum mutations. Therefore, to guarantee the ecological security of the CMREC, governments should formulate new countermeasures to prevent desertification in the region according to the laws of nature and strengthen international cooperation.

Aboveground biomass (AGB) is a critical indicator for assessing carbon sequestration and ecosystem health in transboundary ecologically fragile areas. High-precision estimation and spatiotemporal inversion of AGB are the key to investigating transition zones. However, inadequate feature selection and complex parameter tuning limit accuracy and spatiotemporal representation in the estimation model. An AGB estimation model that integrates SHAP-based feature selection with a particle swarm optimization-enhanced random forest model (RF_PSO) was proposed. Then AGB trajectory clustering was used to characterize the grassland change pattern. The method was applied to grasslands across the China–Mongolia–Russia (CMR) border area from 2000 to 2020. The results show that (1) the SHAP-RF_PSO model achieved the highest accuracy (R² = 0.87, RMSE = 45.8 g/m²), outperforming other estimation models. (2) AGB improvements were observed in 72.13% of the area, mainly in MN_EA, MN_CE, and CN_NMG, while 27.39% showed degradation, concentrated in CN_NMG and MN_CE. The stable area accounts for 0.48%, which is scattered in RU_BU and RU_ZA.CN_NMG. (3) Four change patterns, namely Fluctuating Low, Stable Low, Fluctuating High, and Stable High, were identified, with major shifts in 2007, 2012, and 2014. (4) Projections indicate that 80% of the region may maintain current trends, 13% may reverse, and 7% remain uncertain, requiring targeted interventions. This study offers a robust tool for high-precision AGB estimation and supports dynamic monitoring in the CMR border area.