Wind turbines and their associated parts are subjected to cyclical loads, such as bending, torque, longitudinal stresses, and twisting moments. The novel spatiotemporal reliability technique described in this research is especially useful for high-dimensional structural systems that are either measured or numerically simulated during representative observational time span. As this study demonstrates, it is possible to predict risks of dynamic system failure or damage given the in situ environmental load pattern. As an engineering example for this reliability, the authors have chosen 10-MW floating wind turbines and their dynamic responses, under environmental loadings, caused by wind and waves. The aim of this study was to benchmark a state-of-the-art approach suitable for the reliable study of offshore wind turbines. Existing reliability methods do not easily cope with dynamic system high dimensionality. The advocated reliability technique enables accurate and efficient assessment of dynamic system failure probability, accounting for system nonlinearities and high dimensionality as well as cross-correlations between different system components.
Global public health was recently hampered by reported widespread spread of new coronavirus illness, although morbidity and fatality rates were low. Future coronavirus infection rates may be accurately predicted over a long-time horizon, using novel bio-reliability approach, being especially well suitable for environmental multi-regional health and biological systems. The high regional dimensionality along with cross-correlations between various regional datasets being challenging for conventional statistical tools to manage. To assess future risks of epidemiological outbreak in any province of interest, novel spatio-temporal technique has been proposed. In a multicenter, population-based environment, assess raw clinical data using state-of-the-art, cutting-edge statistical methodologies. Authors have developed novel reliable long-term risk assessment methodology for future coronavirus infection outbreaks. Based on national clinical patient monitoring raw dataset, it is concluded that although underlying data set data quality is questionable, the proposed method may be still applied.
Novel coronavirus infection (COVID-19) has exserted certain burden on global public health, spreading around the world with reportedly low mortality and morbidity. This study advocates novel bio and health system reliability approach, especially suitable for multi-regional environmental and health systems. Advocated spatiotemporal method has been cross-validated, versus well established bivariate Weibull method, based on available raw clinical dataset. The purpose of this study was to assess risks of excessive coronavirus death rates, that may occur within any given time horizon, and in any region or district of interest. This study aims at benchmarking of the novel Gaidai bio-reliability method, allowing accurate assessment of national public health system risks, for the years to come. Novel bio-system reliability approach is particularly suitable for multi-regional environmental and health systems, monitored for a sufficiently representative period of time. In case when underlying bio-system is stationary, or the underlying trend is known, long-term future death rate risk assessment can be done, and confidence intervals can be generated. Advocated methodology may to be useful for a wide variety of public health applications, thus, it is not limited to the example, considered here.