Long-term exposure to air pollution will pose a serious threat to human health. Accurate prediction can help people reduce exposure risks and promote environmental pollution control. However, most previous studies have ignored the spatial spillover of air pollution, i.e., that the current region’s air quality is also correlated with that of geographically adjacent areas. Therefore, this paper proposes an innovative spatiotemporal hybrid early warning system based on adaptive feature extraction and improved fuzzy cognition maps. Firstly, a spatial spillover analysis model based on the Moran index and local gravitational clustering was proposed to capture the diffusion and concentration characteristics of air pollution between regions. Then, an adaptive feature extraction model based on an optimized Hampel filter was put forward to process and correct the outliers in the original series. Finally, a hesitant fuzzy information optimized fuzzy cognitive maps model was proposed to forecast the air quality of urban agglomeration. The experimental results show that the air quality forecasting accuracy of urban agglomerations can be significantly improved when the geographical conditions and other interactions among cities are comprehensively considered, and the proposed model outperformed other benchmarks and can be used as a powerful analytical tool during urban agglomeration air quality management.
Timely short-term spatial air quality forecasting is essential for monitoring and prevention in urban agglomerations, providing a new perspective on joint air pollution prevention. However, a single model on air pollution forecasting or spatial correlation analysis is insufficient to meet the strong demand. Thus, this paper proposed a complex real-time monitoring and decision-making assistance system, using a hybrid forecasting module and social network analysis. Firstly, before an accurate forecasting module was constructed, text sentiment analysis and a strategy based on multiple feature selection methods and result fusion were introduced to data preprocessing. Subsequently, CNN-D-LSTM was proposed to improve the feature capture ability to make forecasting more accurate. Then, social network analysis was utilized to explore the spatial transporting characteristics, which could provide solutions to joint prevention and control in urban agglomerations. For experiment simulation, two comparative experiments were constructed for individual models and city cluster forecasting, in which the mean absolute error decreases to 7.8692 and the Pearson correlation coefficient is 0.9816. For overall spatial cluster forecasting, related experiments demonstrated that with appropriate cluster division, the Pearson correlation coefficient could be improved to nearly 0.99.