This study presents an approach that integrates remote sensing evapotranspiration into multi-objective calibration (i.e., runoff and evapotranspiration) of a fully distributed hydrological model, namely a distributed hydrology–soil–vegetation model (DHSVM). Because of the lack of a calibration module in the DHSVM, a multi-objective calibration module using ε-dominance non-dominated sorted genetic algorithm II (ε-NSGAII) and based on parallel computing of a Linux cluster for the DHSVM (εP-DHSVM) is developed. The module with DHSVM is applied to a humid river basin located in the mid-west of Zhejiang Province, east China. The results show that runoff is simulated well in single objective calibration, whereas evapotranspiration is not. By considering more variables in multi-objective calibration, DHSVM provides more reasonable simulation for both runoff (NS: 0.74% and PBIAS: 10.5%) and evapotranspiration (NS: 0.76% and PBIAS: 8.6%) and great reduction of equifinality, which illustrates the effect of remote sensing evapotranspiration integration in the calibration of hydrological models.
In addition to agriculture, the water–land nexus (WLN) also profoundly affects the sustainable development of industry and residents’ lives. However, little research has been designed to assess the water–land nexus from the perspective of industry development and people’s quality of life. In the current paper, Wi, a regional industrial water–land nexus matching index, and Wd, a matching index of the domestic water–land nexus, were proposed for evaluating the water–land nexus from the industry development and quality of life perspectives separately in the current paper. Furthermore, climate change and human activities have significant impacts on the water–land nexus. The WLNs were assessed spatially and temporally for the first time based on these two indexes in 128 municipalities in the Huang-Huai-Hai River Basin of China from 1951 to 2017 to analyze the impacts of the changing environment on them. The impact of changing environment was explored based on changes of some climate factors and land use. The value of Wi are higher in the eastern and southern cities than the western and northern cities, while Zhenjiang city in Jiangsu Province has the highest Wi. For Wd, there are two low Wd zones across the basin, while the minimum values occurred in Linxia Hui Autonomous Region (Wd = 35.34 mm). Wi and Wd in most cities in the basin showed a significant downward trend, and some cities in the southwest of the basin have the fastest-decreasing of Wd. Wt and Wa were also calculated to assess the total and agricultural water–land nexus separately based on existing research. The Wt for the Huang-Huai-Hai River Basin gradually increases from northwest to southeast, and its spatial distribution characteristics are similar to precipitation in the river basin. In addition, the government should simultaneously implement water transfer plans to reduce the agricultural water pressure in Ningxia and Gansu provinces. Dynamic driving factors of change of the four assessment indexes (Wt, Wa, Wi, Wd) are briefly analyzed in the end of the paper.
Reliable Tropical Cyclone (TC) precipitation and flood nowcasting play an important role in disaster prevention and mitigation. Especially for small-scale reservoirs, timely and accurate inflow forecasts are required to provide safe space for capturing high flows without having to resort to hazardous and damaging releases. Numerous studies have investigated the ability of deep learning in TC precipitation nowcasts. However, few of them focus on the skill of deep-learned TC precipitation forecasts in inflow flood forecasts. In this study, a novel framework is developed by introducing TC track information together with antecedent precipitation in the Convolution LSTM model (PTC-ConvLSTM). The ConvLSTM forecast precipitation is then input to an event-based Xinanjiang hydrological model for inflow flood forecasting, and the propagation of errors from TC track forecasts to inflow forecasts is further analyzed. The results show that TC track information enables a further 5% improvement compared to outputs from ConvLSTM with only precipitation information. PTC-ConvLSTM precipitation nowcasts present a probability of detection (POD) greater than 0.34 for a threshold of 5mm/h in a lead time of 6h. The nowcasts-driven flood forecasts have an NSE greater than 0 with a lead time of 5h at least. It is also indicated that the 100km error in TC track forecasts could generally result in a 10% degradation in precipitation forecasts and a further 8% deterioration in the driven flood forecasts. The effectiveness of our model indicates that the precipitation nowcasts from deep learning have strong applicability in disaster mitigation.