Han Xiao

Dr. Han Xiao


Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

4Years (2023-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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28 July 2023 in Entropy
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
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HXHan Xiao
Han Xiao
YHYongjie Huang
Yongjie Huang
ZPZhisong Pan
Zhisong Pan
WLWei Li
Wei Li
YHYahao Hu
Yahao Hu
GLGengyou Lin
Gengyou Lin
Accurate time series forecasting is of great importance in real-world scenarios such as health care, transportation, and finance. Because of the tendency, temporal variations, and periodicity of the time series data, there are complex and dynamic dependencies among its underlying features. In time series forecasting tasks, the features learned by a specific task at the current time step (such as predicting mortality) are related to the features of historical timesteps and the features of adjacent timesteps of related tasks (such as predicting fever). Therefore, capturing dynamic dependencies in data is a challenging problem for learning accurate future prediction behavior. To address this challenge, we propose a cross-timestep feature-sharing multi-task time series forecasting model that can capture global and local dynamic dependencies in time series data. Initially, the global dynamic dependencies of features within each task are captured through a self-attention mechanism. Furthermore, an adaptive sparse graph structure is employed to capture the local dynamic dependencies inherent in the data, which can explicitly depict the correlation between features across timesteps and tasks. Lastly, the cross-timestep feature sharing between tasks is achieved through a graph attention mechanism, which strengthens the learning of shared features that are strongly correlated with a single task. It is beneficial for improving the generalization performance of the model. Our experimental results demonstrate that our method is significantly competitive compared to baseline methods.