The ability to predict patients’ functional outcomes will add value to preoperative counseling. The purpose of this study was to evaluate predictors of good outcomes following total knee arthroplasty (TKA) among Asian patients. Registry data from 2006 to 2010 were extracted. The Oxford Knee Score (OKS) and the Short Form (SF)-36 physical component summary (PCS) were used to evaluate outcomes. A “good outcome” was defined as an improvement in scores of greater than or equal to the minimal clinically important difference (MCID) in the primary analysis. The MCID for the OKS was 5, and the MCID for the PCS was 10. For the sensitivity analyses, a “good outcome” was defined as an OKS of 50. Clinical variables were used to develop a multiple logistic regression model for a good outcome following total knee arthroplasty at 5 years. Follow-up data were available for 3,062 patients who underwent primary TKA (mean age of 66.4 years; 79.5% female). Eighty-five percent had a good outcome on the basis of the OKS and 83%, on the basis of the SF-36 PCS. Age and preoperative Knee Society score (KSS) were found to be significant predictors. When outcomes were assessed by the MCID, lesser age and lower (worse) preoperative KSS predicted a good outcome at 5 years. When outcomes were assessed by absolute criteria (postoperative scores measured against OKS and PCS thresholds), a higher (better) preoperative KSS predicted a good outcome at 5 years. Body mass index, preoperative flexion range, SF-36 mental component summary (MCS) score, mechanical alignment, sex, education level, ethnicity, operative side, number of comorbidities, type of anesthesia, and type of implant were found not to be significant predictors. The majority of Asian patients with osteoarthritis had good outcomes according to the MCID criterion and benefitted from primary TKA. On the basis of our findings, we believe that older patients with a lower (worse) preoperative KSS can be informed that they have a high likelihood of improvement but a lower likelihood of achieving as good a functional outcome as those with better scores. Prognostic Level IV. See Instructions for Authors for a complete description of levels of evidence.

Aims: This study investigated the influence of body mass index (BMI) on the post-operative fall in the level of haemoglobin (Hb), length of hospital stay (LOS), 30-day re-admission rate, functional outcome and quality of life, two years after total knee arthroplasty (TKA).Patients and Methods: A total of 7733 patients who underwent unilateral primary TKA between 2001 and 2010 were included. The mean age was 67 years (30 to 90). There were 1421 males and 6312 females. The patients were categorised into three groups: BMI < 25.0 kg/m²(normal); BMI between 25.0 and 39.9 kg/m²(obese); and BMI ≥ 40.0 kg/m²(morbidly obese).Results: Compared with the normal and obese groups, the mean LOS was longer by one day (95% confidence interval (CI) 0 to 2) in the morbidly obese group (p = 0.003 and p = 0.001 respectively). The 30-day re-admisison rate was also higher in the morbidly obese group compared to the obese group (OR 2.323, 95% CI 1.101 to 4.900, p = 0.024); and showed a higher trend compared to the normal group (OR 1.850, 95% CI 0.893 to 3.831, p = 0.100). However, the morbidly obese group had a smaller drop in post-operative Hb level by a mean of 0.5 g/dl (0.3 to 0.6) and 0.3 g/dl (0.1 to 0.5), when compared with the normal and obese groups respectively (both p < 0.001). Furthermore, the mean improvement in Oxford Knee Score (OKS) and Knee Society Knee Score (KSKS) at two years follow-up was three points (two to four) and five points (two to seven) more in the morbidly obese group than in the normal group (both p < 0.001). The mean improvement in Knee Society Function Score, and Physical and Mental Component Scores of Short Form-36 were comparable between the three BMI groups (p = 0.736, p = 0.739 and p = 0.731 respectively). The ten-year rate of survival was 98.8% (98.0 to 99.3), 98.9% (98.5 to 99.2) and 98.0% (95.8 to 100), for the normal, obese and morbidly obese groups, respectively (p = 0.703).Conclusion: Although morbidly obese patients have a longer LOS and higher 30-day re-admission rate after TKA, they have a smaller drop in post-operative Hb level and larger improvement in OKS and KSKS at two years follow-up. The ten-year rate of survival of TKA was also comparable with those with a normal BMI. Take home message: Morbidly obese patients should not be excluded from the benefits of TKA. Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2016;98-B:780–5.