The pumping station is one of the critical parts of the hydraulic structure in China. Traditional forecasting methods are limited in accuracy, time‐consuming, and high cost, resulting in limited data availability. Therefore, simulation model analysis based on soft computation is a realistic and valuable alternative. This article intends to use the BP neural network to predict the safe operation status of pump stations and optimize the initial threshold and weight information of the BP network using the sparrow search algorithm (SSA) to improve the accuracy and generalization ability of the model. In addition, to more accurately reflect the correlation between various influencing factors and the safe operation status of the pumping station, the entropy weight method and the analytic hierarchy process were used to obtain the comprehensive weights of each main influencing factor. The experimental results show that the SSA‐BP model can accurately predict the safe operation status of pumping stations, and compared with other traditional models, the SSA‐BP model has better convergence and higher accuracy. This model provides a new approach for predicting the safe operation of pumping stations and has particular reference significance for predicting the safe operation of other pumping stations.

Variability identification and uncertainty characteristic analysis, under the impacts of climate change and human activities, is beneficial for accurately predicting the future evolution trend of hydrological variables. In this study, based on the evolution trend and characteristic analyses of historical precipitation and temperature sequences from monthly, annual, and interannual scales through the Linear Tendency Rate (LTR) index, as well as its variability point identification using the M–K trend test method, we further utilized three cloud characteristic parameters comprising the average Ex, entropy En, and hyper-entropy He of the Cloud Model (CM) method to quantitatively reveal the uncertainty features corresponding to the diverse cloud distribution of precipitation and temperature sample scatters. And then, through an application analysis of the proposed research framework in Anhui Province, China, the following can be summarized from the application results: (1) The annual precipitation of Anhui Province presented a remarkable decreasing trend from south to north and an annual increasing trend from 1960 to 2020, especially in the southern area, with the LTR index equaling 55.87 mm/10a, and the annual average temperature of the entire provincial area also presented an obvious increasing trend from 1960 to 2020, with LTR equaling about 0.226 °C/10a. (2) The uncertainty characteristic of the precipitation series was evidently intensified after the variability points in 2013 and 2014 in the southern and provincial areas, respectively, according to the derived values of entropy En and hyper-entropy He, which are basically to the contrary for the historical annual average temperature series in southern Anhui Province. (3) The obtained result was basically consistent with the practical statistics of historical hydrological and disaster data, indicating that the proposed research methodologies can be further applied in related variability diagnosis analyses of non-stationary hydrological variables.