Neil Lareau

Dr. Neil Lareau


Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

10Years (2017-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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3 December 2018 in Geophysical Research Letters
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NLNeil Lareau
Neil Lareau
NNN. J. Nauslar
N. J. Nauslar
JAJohn Abatzoglou
John Abatzoglou
Radar and satellite observations document the evolution of a destructive fire‐generated vortex during the Carr fire on 26 July 2018 near Redding, California. The National Weather Service estimated that surface wind speeds in the vortex were in excess of 64 m/s, equivalent to an EF‐3 tornado. Radar data show that the vortex formed within an antecedent region of cyclonic wind shear along the fire perimeter and immediately following rapid vertical development of the convective plume, which grew from 6 to 12 km aloft in just 15 min. The rapid plume development was linked to the release of moist instability in a pyrocumulonimbus (pyroCb). As the cloud grew, the vortex intensified and ascended, eventually reaching an altitude of 5,200 m. The role of the pyroCb in concentrating near‐surface vorticity distinguishes this event from other fire‐generated vortices and suggests dynamical similarities to nonmesocyclonic tornadoes.

21 September 2020 in Geophysical Research Letters
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Journal Article
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BRB. Rodriguez
B. Rodriguez
NLNeil Lareau
Neil Lareau
DKD. E. Kingsmill
D. E. Kingsmill
CCCraig Clements
Craig Clements
Airborne cloud radar reveals extreme wildfire updrafts (~60 m s−1) and downdrafts (~30 m s−1) rivaling those in supercell thunderstorms. These extreme vertical velocities occur through a 3‐km‐deep layer and below the base of a developing pyrocumulonimbus (pyroCb) cloud, which extends to the tropopause at 12 km. In situ aircraft sampling shows updrafts are linked to large temperature and moisture excesses but remain subsaturated at flight level (i.e., below cloud base). Parcel estimates using the in situ data help explain how these “hot‐moist” updrafts trigger the overlying pyroCb. The extreme vertical motions observed also pose a previously undocumented aviation hazard.

1 May 2022 in Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
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NLNeil Lareau
Neil Lareau
NNNicholas Nauslar
Nicholas Nauslar
EBEvan Bentley
Evan Bentley
MRMatthew Roberts
Matthew Roberts
SESamuel Emmerson
Samuel Emmerson
JWJames Wallman
James Wallman
Fire-generated tornadic vortices (FGTVs) linked to deep pyroconvection, including pyrocumulonimbi (pyroCbs), are a potentially deadly, yet poorly understood, wildfire hazard. In this study we use radar and satellite observations to examine three FGTV cases during high-impact wildfires during the 2020 fire season in California. We establish that these FGTVs each exhibit tornado-strength anticyclonic rotation, with rotational velocity as strong as 30 m s−1 (60 kt), vortex depths of up to 4.9 km AGL, and pyroCb plume tops as high as 16 km MSL. These data suggest similarities to EF2+ strength tornadoes. Volumetric renderings of vortex and plume morphology reveal two types of vortices: embedded vortices anchored to the fire and residing within high-reflectivity convective columns and shedding vortices that detach from the fire and move downstream. Time-averaged radar data further show that each case exhibits fire-generated mesoscale flow perturbations characterized by flow splitting around the fire’s updraft and pronounced flow reversal in the updraft’s lee. All the FGTVs occur during deep pyroconvection, including pyroCb, suggesting an important role of both fire and cloud processes. The commonalities in plume and vortex morphology provide the basis for a conceptual model describing when, where, and why these FGTVs form.

16 May 2023 in Geophysical Research Letters
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Journal Article
Open access
TJTimothy W. Juliano
Timothy W. Juliano
NLNeil Lareau
Neil Lareau
MFMaria E. Frediani
Maria E. Frediani
KSKasra Shamsaei
Kasra Shamsaei
MEMasih Eghdami
Masih Eghdami
HEHamed Ebrahimian
Hamed Ebrahimian
On 30 December 2021, the Marshall Fire devastated the Boulder, Colorado region. The fire initiated in fine fuels in open space just southeast of Boulder and spread rapidly due to the strong, downslope winds that penetrated into the Boulder Foothills. Despite the increasing occurrence of wildland‐urban interface (WUI) disasters, many questions remain about how fires progress through vegetation and the built environment. To help answer these questions for the Marshall Fire, we use a coupled fire‐atmosphere model and Doppler on Wheels (DOW) observations to study the fire's progression as well as examine the physical drivers of its spread. Evaluation of the model using the DOW suggests that the model is able to capture general characteristics of the flow field; however, it does not produce as robust of a hydraulic jump as the one observed. Our results highlight limitations of the model that should be addressed for successful WUI simulations.

6 June 2022 in Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres
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Journal Article
Open access
NLNeil Lareau
Neil Lareau
ADAmanda Donohoe
Amanda Donohoe
MRMatthew Roberts
Matthew Roberts
HEHamed Ebrahimian
Hamed Ebrahimian
There is a need for nowcasting tools to provide timely and accurate updates on the location and rate of spread (ROS) of large wildfires, especially those impacting communities in the wildland urban interface. In this study, we demonstrate how fixed‐site weather radars can be used to fill this gap. Specifically, we develop and test a radar‐based fire‐perimeter tracking tool that leverages the tendency for local maxima in the radar reflectivity to be collocated with active fire perimeters. Reflectivity maxima are located using search radials from points inside a fire polygon, and perimeters are updated at intervals of ∼10 min. The algorithm is tested using publicly available Next Generation Weather Radar radar data for two large and destructive wildfires, the Camp and Bear Fires, both occurring in northern California, USA. The radar‐based fire perimeters are compared with available, albeit limited, satellite and airborne infrared observations, showing good agreement with conventional fire‐tracking tools. The radar data also provide insights into fire ROS, revealing the importance of long‐range spotting in generating ROS that exceeds conventional estimates. One limitation of this study is that high‐resolution fire perimeter validation data are sparsely available, precluding detailed error quantification for the radar estimates drawn from samples spanning a range of environmental conditions and radar configurations. Nevertheless, the radar tracking approach provides the basis for improved situational awareness during high‐impact fires.

11 January 2024 in Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
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Journal Article
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TJTimothy W. Juliano
Timothy W. Juliano
FSFernando Szasdi-Bardales
Fernando Szasdi-Bardales
NLNeil Lareau
Neil Lareau
KSKasra Shamsaei
Kasra Shamsaei
BKBranko Kosovic
Branko Kosovic
HEHamed Ebrahimian
Hamed Ebrahimian
Following the destructive Lahaina Fire in Hawaii, our team has modeled the wind and fire spread processes to understand the drivers of this devastating event. The results are in good agreement with observations recorded during the event. Extreme winds with high variability, a fire ignition close to the community, and construction characteristics led to continued fire spread in multiple directions. Our results suggest that available modeling capabilities can provide vital information to guide decision-making and emergency response management during wildfire events.