Observations of ∼7 years of postseismic deformation following the 2012 Mw 7.8 Haida Gwaii and 2013 Mw 7.5 Craig earthquakes in western British Columbia and southeastern Alaska provides insight into the regional rheologic structure and seismological hazards. A stress‐driven afterslip‐only model cannot alone explain rates or spatial patterns of the far field and later stage postseismic deformation measured by Global Positioning System (GPS). We thus develop an integrated model that fits the observations by combining afterslip on the deeper extension of the faults and distributed viscous flow in the asthenosphere. The best‐fit integrated model has a 60‐km thick lithosphere overlying a Burgers body asthenosphere with a Maxwell viscosity of 2 × 1019 Pa s (0.8–3 × 1019 Pa s at 95% confidence), with a Kelvin viscosity assumed equal to 10% of that value. These values are in good agreement with rheological models derived from glacial isostatic adjustment data. The early, near‐field postseismic deformation from both events is dominated by their corresponding afterslip, however, throughout the Craig postseismic period, the dominant mechanism in the far field is viscoelastic relaxation. For the intermediate region between the two earthquakes, both events contribute to the observed postseismic displacements. Because there was no obvious afterslip following the Haida Gwaii event or known large historical earthquakes on the southernmost part of the QCF, this region continues to have great potential to suffer a large earthquake in the future.
The southeastern Tibetan Plateau (SETP), which hosts the most extensive marine glaciers on the Tibetan Plateau (TP), exhibits enhanced sensitivity to climatic fluctuations. Under global warming, persistent glacier mass depletion within the SETP poses a risk to water resource security and sustainability in adjacent nations and regions. This study deployed a high-precision ICESat-2 satellite altimetry technique to evaluate SETP glacier thickness changes from 2018 to 2022. Our results show that the average change rate in glacier thickness in the SETP is −0.91 ± 0.18 m/yr, and the corresponding glacier mass change is −7.61 ± 1.52 Gt/yr. In the SETP, the glacier mass loss obtained via ICESat-2 data is larger than the mass change in total land water storage observed by the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment follow-on satellite (GRACE-FO), −5.13 ± 2.55 Gt/yr, which underscores the changes occurring in other land water components, including snow (−0.44 ± 0.09 Gt/yr), lakes (−0.06 ± 0.02 Gt/yr), soil moisture (1.88 ± 1.83 Gt/yr), and groundwater (1.45 ± 0.70 Gt/yr), with a closure error of −0.35 Gt/yr. This demonstrates that this dramatic glacier mass loss is the main reason for the decrease in total land water storage in the SETP. Generally, there are decreasing trends in solid water storage (glacier and snow) against stable or increasing trends in liquid water storage (lakes, soil moisture, and groundwater) in the SETP. This persistent decrease in solid water is linked to the enhanced melting induced by rising temperatures. Given the decreasing trend in summer precipitation, the surge in liquid water in the SETP should be principally ascribed to the increased melting of solid water.
Noises in the GPS vertical coordinate time series, mainly including the white and flicker noise, have been proven to impair the accuracy and reliability of GPS products. Various methods were adopted to weaken the white and flicker noises in the GPS time series, such as the complementary ensemble empirical mode decomposition (CEEMD), wavelet denoising (WD), and variational mode decomposition (VMD). However, a single method only works at a limited frequency band of the time series, and the corresponding denoising ability is insufficient, especially for the flicker noise. Hence, in this study, we try to build two combined methods: CEEMD & WD and VMD & WD, to weaken the flicker noise in the GPS positioning time series from the Crustal Movement Observation Network of China. First, we handled the original signal using CEEMD or VMD with the appropriate parameters. Then, the processed signal was further denoised by WD. The results show that the average flicker noise in the time series was reduced from 19.90 mm/year0.25 to 2.8 mm/year0.25. This relates to a reduction of 86% after applying the two methods to process the GPS data, which indicates our solutions outperform CEEMD by 6.84% and VMD by 16.88% in weakening the flicker noise, respectively. Those apparent decreases in the flicker noises for the two combined methods are attributed to the differences in the frequencies between the WD and the other two methods, which were verified by analyzing the power spectrum density (PSD). With the help of WD, CEEMD & WD and VMD & WD can identify more flicker noise hidden in the low-frequency signals obtained by CEEMD and VMD. Finally, we found that the two combined methods have almost identical effects on removing the flicker noise in the time series for 226 GPS stations in China, testified by the Wilcoxon rank sum test.
3 May 2023 in Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth
Postseismic deformation following subduction earthquakes includes the combined effects of afterslip surrounding the coseismic rupture areas and viscoelastic relaxation in the asthenosphere and provides unique and valuable information for understanding the rheological structure. Because the two postseismic mechanisms are usually spatiotemporally intertwined, we developed an integrated model combining their contributions, based on 5 years of observations following the 2016 Pedernales (Ecuador) earthquake. The results show that the early, near‐field postseismic deformation is dominated by afterslip, both updip and downdip of the coseismic rupture, and requires heterogeneous interface frictional properties. Viscoelastic relaxation contributes more to far‐field displacements at later time periods. The best‐fit integrated model favors a 45‐km thick lithosphere overlying a Burgers body viscoelastic asthenosphere with a Maxwell viscosity of 3 × 1019 Pa s (0.9–5 × 1019 Pa s at 95% confidence), assuming the Kelvin viscosity equal to 10% of that value. In addition to the postseismic afterslip, the coastal displacement of sites north and south of the rupture clearly require extra slip in the plate motion direction due to slow slip events that may be triggered by the coseismic stress changes (CSC) but are not purely driven by the CSC. Spatially variable afterslip following the Pedernales event, combined with the SSEs during the interseismic period, demonstrate that spatial frictional variability persists throughout the whole earthquake cycle. The interaction of adjacent fault patches with heterogeneous properties may contribute to the clustered large earthquakes in this area.