Timely and effective maintenance is imperative to minimize operational disruptions and ensure the reliability of marine vessels. However, given the low early warning rates and poor adaptability under complex conditions of previous data-driven fault prediction methods, this paper presents a hybrid deep learning model based on multi-layer attention mechanisms for predicting faults in a marine diesel engine. Specifically, this hybrid model first introduces a Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) and self-attention to extract local features from multi-feature input sequences. Then, we utilize Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) and multi-head attention to capture global correlations across time steps. Finally, the hybrid deep learning model is integrated with the Exponential Weighted Moving Average (EWMA) to monitor the operational status and predict potential faults in the marine diesel engine. We conducted extensive evaluations using real datasets under three operating conditions. The experimental results indicate that the proposed method outperforms the current state-of-the-art methods. Moreover, ablation studies and visualizations highlight the importance of fusing multi-layer attention, and the results under various operating conditions and application scenarios demonstrate that this method possesses predictive accuracy and broad applicability. Hence, this approach can provide decision support for condition monitoring and predictive maintenance of marine mechanical systems.

In order to establish a sparse and accurate ship motion prediction model, a novel Bayesian probability prediction model based on relevance vector machine (RVM) was proposed for nonparametric modeling. The sparsity, effectiveness, and generalization of RVM were verified from two aspects: (1) the processed Sinc function dataset, and (2) the tank test dataset of the KRISO container ship (KCS) model. The KCS was taken as the main research plant, and the motion prediction models of KCS were obtained. The $\epsilon$-support vector regression and $\upsilon$-support vector regression were taken as the compared algorithms. The sparsity, effectiveness, and generalization of the three algorithms were analyzed. According to the trained prediction models of the three algorithms, the number of relevance vectors was compared with the number of support vectors. From the prediction results of the Sinc function and tank test datasets, the highest percentage of relevance vectors in the trained sample was below 17%. The final prediction results indicated that the proposed nonparametric models had good prediction performance. They could ensure good sparsity while ensuring high prediction accuracy. Compared with the SVR, the prediction accuracy can be improved by more than 14.04%, and the time consumption was also relatively lower. A training model with good sparsity can reduce prediction time. This is essential for the online prediction of ship motion.