The Air Telang Protected Forest (ATPF) is one of the most dynamic and essential coastal forest landscapes in South Sumatra, Indonesia, because of its location between multiple river outlets, including the Musi catchment—Sumatra’s largest and most dense lowland catchment area. While most ATPF areas are covered by mangroves, these areas have been experiencing severe anthropogenic-driven degradation and conversion. This study aims to evaluate land cover changes and associated carbon emissions in the ATPF over a 35-year period (1985–2020) by utilizing the available Landsat and Sentinel imagery from 1985, 2000, and 2020. Throughout the analysis period, we observed 63% (from 10,886 to 4059 ha) primary and secondary forest loss due to land use change. We identified three primary anthropogenic activities driving these losses, namely, land clearing for plantations and agriculture (3693 ha), coconut plantations (3315 ha), aquaculture (245 ha). We estimated that the largest carbon emissions were caused by coconut plantation conversion, with total carbon emissions of approximately 14.14 Mt CO₂-eq. These amounts were almost 4 and 21 times higher than emissions from land clearing and aquaculture, respectively, as substantial soil carbon loss occurs once mangroves get transformed into coconut plantations. While coconut plantation expansion on mangroves could generate significant carbon stock losses and cleared forests become the primary candidate for restoration, our dataset could be useful for future land-based emission reduction policy intervention at a subnational level. Ultimately, our findings have direct implications for current national climate policies, through low carbon development strategies and emission reductions from the land use sector for 2030, as outlined in the Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs).

Biogeographic transition zones are promising areas to study processes of biogeographic evolution and its influence on biological groups. The Mexican transition zone originated due to the overlap of Nearctic and Neotropical biota, which promoted great biological diversification. However, since most previous studies in this area were focused on revealing the phylogeography of Nearctic plants, how historical biogeographic configuration influenced the expansion and diversification of the Neotropical flora remains almost unknown. Using the cycad genus Dioon (Zamiaceae), this study aimed to test whether the biogeographic provinciality of the Mexican transition zone reflects the history of diversification of Neotropical plants. Two chloroplast DNA (cpDNA) regions were analysed from 101 specimens of 15 Dioon species to reveal the distribution of haplogroups. In addition, genome-wide single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) from 84 specimens were used to test the concordance between phylogenetic clusters and the biogeographic provinces. An ultrametric tree was constructed from the sequences containing SNPs to reconstruct the biogeographic events of vicariance and dispersal of Dioon across the Neotropical biogeographic provinces. Four Dioon lineages with strong phylogeographic structures were recognized using both cpDNA and SNP data. The lineages correspond to two clades that originated from a common ancestor in Eastern Mexico. One clade expanded and diversified in South-east Mexico and Central America. Another clade diversified into three lineages that dispersed to North-east, South and North-west Mexico. Each lineage was biogeographically delimitated. Biogeographic provinces might have provided disparate ecological conditions that facilitated speciation in Dioon since the Miocene. The current genetic structure and species diversity of Dioon depict the history of expansion and diversification of the northernmost Neotropical provinces. Past biogeographic connectivities were favoured by elevated topographies, since mountain systems served as corridors for the migration of Dioon and as refugia of tropical communities that diversified during the formation of modern Neotropical forests.

Aridification is considered a selective pressure that might have influenced plant diversification. It is suggested that plants adapted to aridity diversified during the Miocene, an epoch of global aridification (≈15 million years ago). However, evidence supporting diversification being a direct response to aridity is scarce, and multidisciplinary evidence, besides just phylogenetic estimations, is necessary to support the idea that aridification has driven diversification. The cycad genus Dioon (Zamiaceae), a tropical group including species occurring from humid forests to arid zones, was investigated as a promising study system to understand the associations among habitat shifts, diversification times, the evolution of leaf epidermal adaptations, and aridification of Mexico. A phylogenetic tree was constructed from seven chloroplast DNA sequences and the ITS2 spacer to reveal the relationships among 14 Dioon species from habitats ranging from humid forests to deserts. Divergence times were estimated and the habitat shifts throughout Dioon phylogeny were detected. The epidermal anatomy among Dioon species was compared and correlation tests were performed to associate the epidermal variations with habitat parameters. Events of habitat shifts towards arid zones happened exclusively in one of the two main clades of Dioon. Such habitat shifts happened during the species diversification of Dioon, mainly during the Miocene. Comparative anatomy showed epidermal differences between species from arid and mesic habitats. The variation of epidermal structures was found to be correlated with habitat parameters. Also, most of the analysed epidermal traits showed significant phylogenetic signals. The diversification of Dioon has been driven by the aridification of Mexico. The Miocene timing corresponds to the expansion of arid zones that embedded the ancestral Dioon populations. As response, species in arid zones evolved epidermal traits to counteract aridity stress. This case study provides a robust body of evidence supporting the idea that aridification is an important driver of biodiversity.

Species detection using environmental DNA (eDNA) is a biomonitoring tool that can be widely applied to mangrove restoration and management. Compared to traditional surveys that are taxa-specific and time-consuming, eDNA metabarcoding offers a rapid, non-invasive and cost-efficient method for monitoring mangrove biodiversity and characterising the spatio-temporal distribution of multiple taxa simultaneously. General guidelines for eDNA metabarcoding are well-established for aquatic systems, but habitat-specific guidelines are still lacking. Mangrove habitats, as priority ecosystems for restoration in Southeast Asia, present unique prospects and challenges in these regards. Environmental DNA metabarcoding can be used to (1) track functional recovery in ecological restoration, (2) prioritise conservation areas, (3) provide early warning for threats, (4) monitor threatened taxa, (5) monitor response to climate change, and (6) support community-based restoration. However, these potential applications have yet been realized in Southeast Asia due to (1) technical challenges, (2) lack of standardised methods, (3) spatio-temporal difficulties in defining community, (4) data limitations, and (5) lack of funding, infrastructure and technical capacity. Successful implementation of eDNA metabarcoding in mangrove restoration activities would encourage the development of data-driven coastal management and equitable conservation programs. Eventually, this would promote Southeast Asia’s shared regional interests in food security, coastal defence and biodiversity conservation.