Stefan Liersch

Dr. Stefan Liersch

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Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

20Years (2007-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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4 April 2014 in Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
VAValentin Aich
Valentin Aich
SLStefan Liersch
Stefan Liersch
TVTobias Vetter
Tobias Vetter
SHS. Huang
S. Huang
JTJ. Tecklenburg
J. Tecklenburg
FHF. F. Hattermann
F. F. Hattermann
This study aims to compare impacts of climate change on streamflow in four large representative African river basins: the Niger, the Upper Blue Nile, the Oubangui and the Limpopo. We set up the eco-hydrological model SWIM (Soil and Water Integrated Model) for all four basins individually. The validation of the models for four basins shows results from adequate to very good, depending on the quality and availability of input and calibration data. For the climate impact assessment, we drive the model with outputs of five bias corrected Earth system models of Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) for the representative concentration pathways (RCPs) 2.6 and 8.5. This climate input is put into the context of climate trends of the whole African continent and compared to a CMIP5 ensemble of 19 models in order to test their representativeness. Subsequently, we compare the trends in mean discharges, seasonality and hydrological extremes in the 21st century. The uncertainty of results for all basins is high. Still, climate change impact is clearly visible for mean discharges but also for extremes in high and low flows. The uncertainty of the projections is the lowest in the Upper Blue Nile, where an increase in streamflow is most likely. In the Niger and the Limpopo basins, the magnitude of trends in both directions is high and has a wide range of uncertainty. In the Oubangui, impacts are the least significant. Our results confirm partly the findings of previous continental impact analyses for Africa. However, contradictory to these studies we find a tendency for increased streamflows in three of the four basins (not for the Oubangui). Guided by these results, we argue for attention to the possible risks of increasing high flows in the face of the dominant water scarcity in Africa. In conclusion, the study shows that impact intercomparisons have added value to the adaptation discussion and may be used for setting up adaptation plans in the context of a holistic approach.

1 July 2009 in Land Use Policy
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
Martin VolkMartin Volk
Martin Volk
SLStefan Liersch
Stefan Liersch
GSGerd Schmidt
Gerd Schmidt

1 August 2016 in Science of The Total Environment
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
VAValentin Aich
Valentin Aich
SLStefan Liersch
Stefan Liersch
TVTobias Vetter
Tobias Vetter
SFSamuel Fournet
Samuel Fournet
JAJafet Andersson
Jafet Andersson
EPEva N. Paton
Eva N. Paton

1 September 2018 in Environmental Research Letters
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
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SSSebastian Sterl
Sebastian Sterl
SLStefan Liersch
Stefan Liersch
HKHagen Koch
Hagen Koch
NLNicole P M van Lipzig
Nicole P M van Lipzig
WTWim Thiery
Wim Thiery

8 April 2021 in Nature Energy
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Journal Article
Closed access
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SSSebastian Sterl
Sebastian Sterl
DFDalia Fadly
Dalia Fadly
SLStefan Liersch
Stefan Liersch
HKHagen Koch
Hagen Koch
WTWim Thiery
Wim Thiery

1 May 2008 in Ecological Economics
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
Martin VolkMartin Volk
Martin Volk
JHJesko Hirschfeld
Jesko Hirschfeld
ADAlexandra Dehnhardt
Alexandra Dehnhardt
GSGerd Schmidt
Gerd Schmidt
CBCarsten Bohn
Carsten Bohn
PGPhilip W. Gassman
Philip W. Gassman