Due to the frequent occurrence of extreme weather in recent years, accurate runoff prediction is crucial for the rational planning and management of water resources. Addressing the high uncertainty and multiple influencing factors in runoff prediction, this paper proposes a runoff prediction method driven by multi-source data. Based on multivariate observed data of runoff, water level, temperature, and precipitation, a Time2Vec-TCN-Transformer model is proposed for runoff prediction research and compared with LSTM, TCN, and TCN-Transformer models. The results show that the Time2Vec-TCN-Transformer model outperforms other models in metrics including MAE, RRMSE, MAPE, and NSE, demonstrating higher prediction accuracy and reliability. By effectively combining Time2Vec, TCN, and Transformer, the proposed model improves the MAPE for forecasting 1–4 days in the future by approximately 7% compared to the traditional LSTM model and 4% compared to the standalone TCN model, while maintaining NSE consistently between 0.9 and 1. This model can better capture the periodicity, long-term scale information, and relationships among multiple variables of runoff data, providing reliable predictive support for flood forecasting and water resources management.

In response to the issues of poor content correlation and insufficient intelligent decision support in emergency plans for water conservancy projects, a method for intelligent generation of emergency plans based on knowledge graphs is proposed. Utilizing pre-trained language models (PTM) based on entity masking, the accuracy of entity recognition tasks is enhanced by uncovering contextual features surrounding the masked entities. By employing translations, rotations, and superpositions within the vector space, a multiview convolutional neural network (MCNN) is constructed to enhance the accuracy of relation extraction through complementary and integrated feature representation. Integrating PTM with MCNN enables the construction of an emergency entity relationship extraction method based on PTM-MCNN. Neo4j is utilized for storing entity relationship triplets to construct an emergency knowledge graph. Through the utilization of the mutual information criterion, knowledge retrieval and matching are performed to accomplish the intelligent generation of emergency plans. The results indicate that PTM-MCNN achieves high recognition accuracy (F1 score of 92.2%), ensuring the reliability of the generated emergency plans. Related studies can effectively improve the intelligence of emergency management of water conservancy projects.

To improve the accuracy, reliability and validity of flood prediction models, this study proposes a regularized broad learning (RBL) model based on an improved variational mode decomposition (VMD). Firstly, grey correlation analysis was used to improve the endpoint effect of the VMD and the particle swarm optimisation (PSO) algorithm was used to optimise the VMD parameters. Then, using orthogonal triangular decomposition (QR), redefining the hidden layer output of BL model and adding forgettable online sequence learning mechanism (FOS) to construct online sequence BL (FOS-QR-RBL), which can significantly improve the computational efficiency of BL model. Finally, a flood forecasting method based on improved VMD-FOS-QR-RBL was constructed by combining the FOS-QR-RBL with the improved VMD and applying it to regional flood forecasting. The experimental results show that the computational efficiency of FOS-QR-RBL is improved by 35% and 23.68% compared with RBL and QR-RBL, respectively. The mean absolute error (MAE) of the coupling model of VMD and FOS-QR-RBL is reduced by 80.30% and 84.10% respectively, and the nash efficiency coefficient (E _ns ) is increased by 15.51% and 28.16% respectively, compared with that of the coupling model of FOS-QR-RBL with ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD) and adaptive noise complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition (CEEMDAN). The results of the optimal operation based on VMD-FOS-OR-RBL show that the model can effectively reduce the economic losses caused by regional flooding.

Feature selection methods are widely used in machine learning tasks to reduce the dimensionality and improve the performance of the models. However, traditional feature selection methods based on regression often suffer from a lack of robustness and generalization ability and are easily affected by outliers in the data. To address this problem, we propose a robust feature selection method based on sparse regression. This method uses a non-square form of the L2,1 norm as both the loss function and regularization term, which can effectively enhance the model’s resistance to outliers and achieve feature selection simultaneously. Furthermore, to improve the model’s robustness and prevent overfitting, we add an elastic variable to the loss function. We design two efficient convergent iterative processes to solve the optimization problem based on the L2,1 norm and propose a robust joint sparse regression algorithm. Extensive experimental results on three public datasets show that our feature selection method outperforms other comparison methods.

In response to the shortcomings of existing knowledge graph embedding strategies, such as weak feature interaction and latent knowledge representation, a unique hydraulic knowledge graph embedding method is suggested. The proposed method incorporates spatial position features into the entity-relation embedding process, thereby enhancing the representation capability of latent knowledge. Furthermore, it utilizes a multi-layer convolutional neural network to fuse features at different levels, effectively capturing more abundant semantic information. Additionally, the method employs multi-scale dilated convolution kernels to capture rich explicit interaction features across different scales of space. In this study, the effectiveness of the proposed model was validated on the link prediction task. Experimental results demonstrated that, compared to the ConvE model, the proposed model achieved a significant improvement of 14.8% in terms of mean reciprocal rank (MRR) on public datasets. Additionally, the suggested model outperformed the ConvR model on the hydraulic dataset, leading to a 10.1% increase in MRR. The results indicate that the proposed approach exhibits good applicability and performance in the task of hydraulic knowledge graph complementation. This suggests that the method has the potential to offer significant assistance for knowledge discovery and application research in the field of hydraulics.