Chronic kidney disease (CKD) tends to progress to end-stage renal disease without any intervention. Neutrophil/lymphocyte (N/L) ratio may be indicative of an underlying inflammatory state. We aimed to investigate the role of N/L ratio for prediction of progression to dialysis in patients with stage 4 CKD. We included 105 patients with stage 4 CKD in the study. All patients were followed up from the first admission to dialysis. N/L ratio was measured during follow-up. Patients were divided into two groups as baseline N/L (N/Lb) ratio < 3 and N/Lb ratio =3 and rapid progression was defined as > 5 mL/minute/year loss of creatinine clearance and slow progression as < 5 mL/minute/year. Patients with N/L ratio =3 demonstrated high progression rate compared to patients who had N/L ratio <3 (2.6 ± 1.6 and 5.4 ± 3.3, P<.001). hs-CRP levels were higher in patients who had rapid progression (5.6 ± 3.0 and 20.2 ± 10.6, P<.001). The sensitivity and specificity of N/Lb were 79% and 69%, respectively, when the cutoff level was accepted as N/L ratio =3 for determining rapid progression. Furthermore, patients with a high N/Lb ratio had worse prognosis and significantly faster progression to the dialysis compared with those with a low N/L ratio. Our results suggest that N/L ratio may predict the progression rate of stage 4 chronic kidney disease to dialysis. It is an easily accessible and useful marker for monitoring CKD patients in clinical practice.
Increased inflammation, associated with the increase in chronic kidney disease (CKD) stage, has a very important influence in vascular injury and cardiovascular diseases. In this study, we aimed to investigate the levels of IL-33 and ST2 in the different stages of CKD and to determine their effect on vascular damage and cardiovascular events (CVE). This was an observational cohort study in which serum IL-33 and ST2 were obtained from 238 CKD (stages 1–5) patients. We examined the changes in IL-33/ST2 levels in CKD patients, as well as the association with a surrogate of endothelial dysfunction. Fatal and non-fatal CVE were recorded for a mean of 24 months. We also performed a COX regression analysis to determine the association of IL-33/ST2 levels with CVE and survival. IL-33 and ST2 levels were significantly increased and estimated glomerular filtration rates (eGFR) were decreased. Flow-mediated dilatation (FMD) was significantly decreased from stage 1 to stage 5 CKD. IL-33 and ST2 levels were associated with FMD, and ST2 was a predictor. Multivariate Cox analysis showed that the presence of diabetes mellitus, smoking, and proteinuria and haemoglobin, Hs-CRP, IL-33, and ST2 were associated with the risk of CVE. Kaplan-Meier survival curves showed that patients with IL-33 and ST2 levels below the median value (IL-33 = 132.6 ng/L, ST2 = 382.9 pg/mL) had a higher cumulative survival compared with patients who had IL-33 and ST2 levels above the median value (log-rank test, p = 0.000). This is the first study that demonstrates that serum IL-33 and ST2 are associated with vascular injury, cardiovascular events, and survival in CKD patients.
10 December 2007 in American Journal of Hematology