Anas ABM Boukili Makhoukhi

Mr. Anas ABM Boukili Makhoukhi


Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

4Years (2023-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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20 July 2023 in Water
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
WHWafaa EL HANNOUN
Wafaa EL HANNOUN
AMAnas ABM Boukili Makhoukhi
Anas ABM Boukili Makhoukhi
AZAbdelhak Zoglat
Abdelhak Zoglat
SASalaheddine El Adlouni
Salaheddine El Adlouni
Intensity–duration–frequency (IDF) curves of precipitation are a reference decision support tool used in hydrology. They allow the estimation of extreme precipitation and its return periods. Typically, IDF curves are estimated using univariate frequency analysis of the maximum annual intensities of precipitation for different durations. It is then assumed that the annual maxima of different durations are independent to simplify the parameter estimation. This strong hypothesis is not always verified for every climatic region. This study examines the effects of the independence hypothesis by proposing a multivariate model that considers the dependencies between precipitation intensities of different durations. The multivariate model uses D-vine copulas to explore the intraduration dependencies. The generalized extreme values distribution (GEV) is considered a marginal model that fits a wide range of tail behaviors. An illustration of the proposed approach is made for historical data from Moncton, in the province of New Brunswick (Eastern Canada), with climatic projections made through three scenarios of the Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP).