Henry Chacon

Mr. Henry Chacon


Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

7Years (2020-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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25 May 2020 in IEEE Access
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
HCHenry Chacon
Henry Chacon
EKEmre Kesici
Emre Kesici
PNPeyman Najafirad
Peyman Najafirad
Recurrent neural networks have received vast amount of attention in time series prediction due to their flexibility in capturing dependencies on various scales. However, as in most of the classical forecasting methods, its accuracy is strongly tied to the degree of signal complexity. Specifically, stock market prices are commonly classified to be non-linear, non-stationary and chaotic signals, since they exhibit erratic behavior that conducts a poor performance in the long short-term memory (LSTM). In this paper, we propose a methodology to improve the predictability of financial time series by using the complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition with adaptive noise and the intrinsic sample entropy (SampEn). We evaluated the integrated model by applying it to S&P 500 index stocks for the period between January 2018 and April 2020 and for each time series of stock closing prices, an LSTM model was trained to forecast the next closing price. The experimental results represent a dependency between the decomposed signal entropy and the performance of forecast accuracy. This suggests that in those cases where the short-term complexity in financial time series is smaller compared to the series energy, the forecasting capabilities are significantly improved after the removal of decomposed highest frequency. Furthermore, our results show an improvement in forecasting the direction of the stock price by 31% using the classical LSTM architecture.

1 April 2023 in Expert Systems with Applications
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
HCHenry Chacon
Henry Chacon
VKVishwa Koppisetti
Vishwa Koppisetti
DHDavid Hardage
David Hardage
KCKim-Kwang Raymond Choo
Kim-Kwang Raymond Choo
PRPaul Rad
Paul Rad