Exploring the built environment factor’s impact on metro ridership can help develop metro station area planning strategies. This is in order to compensate for the shortcomings of previous studies, which mostly used all uniform pedestrian catchment areas (PCA) around metro stations. Beijing was divided into two zones and 12 built environment explanatory variables were selected as independent variables based on the “7D” dimension of the built environment. The boarding ridership during the morning peak hours was used as the dependent variable. Nineteen PCA radii from 200 to 2000 m were assumed. The optimal PCA of metro stations for each zone was determined by using the eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) model with the objective of minimizing the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE). The nonlinear impact of the built environment factor of each zone on metro ridership is analyzed under the optimal PCA of metro stations. The study results show that (1) the optimal PCAs of metro stations inside the 4th Ring Road and outside the 4th Ring Road are the circular buffer zones with a radius of 800 m and 1300 m, respectively. (2) There is a nonlinear influence of the built environment factor on metro ridership, with strong threshold effects and spatial heterogeneity. The PCA results can be used for the built environment’s zoning of metro stations. The XGBoost model and the nonlinear impact results provide significant implications for the practice of station-level ridership forecasting and integrating TOD development and built environment renewal.
The impact of the built environment on the ridership of ride-hailing results depends on the spatial grid scale. The existing research on the demand model of ride-hailing ignores the modifiable areal unit problem (MAUP). Taking Chengdu as an example, and taking the density of pick-ups and drop-offs as dependent variables, 12 explanatory variables were selected as independent variables according to the “5D” built environment theory. The nugget–sill ratio (NSR) method and optimal parameter-based geographical detector (OPGD) model were used to determine the optimal grid scale for the aggregation of the built environment variables and the ridership of ride-hailing. Based on the optimal grid scale, the optimal data discretization method of the explanatory variables was determined by comparing the results of the geographic detector under different discretization methods (such as the natural break method, k-means clustering method, equidistant method, and quantile method); we utilized the geographic detector model to explore the relative importance and the interactive impacts of the explanatory variables on the ridership of ride-hailing under the optimal grid scale and optimal data discretization method. The results indicated that: (1) the suggested grid scale for the aggregation of the built environment and ride-hailing ridership in Chengdu is 1100 m; (2) the optimal data discretization method is the quantile method; (3) the floor area ratio (FAR), distance from the nearest subway station, and residential POI (point of interest) density resulted in a relatively high importance of the explanatory variable that affects the ridership of ride-hailing; and (4) the interactions of the diversity index of mixed land use ∩ FAR, distance to the nearest subway station ∩ FAR, transportation POI density ∩ FAR, and distance to the central business district (CBD) ∩ FAR made a higher contribution to ride-hailing ridership than the single-factor effect of FAR, which had the highest contribution compared with the other explanatory variables. The proposed grid scale can provide the basis for the partitioning management and scheduling optimization of ride-hailing. In the process of adjusting the ride-hailing demand, the ranking results of the importance and interaction of the built-environment explanatory variables offer valuable references for formulating the priority renewal order and proposing a scientific combination scheme of the built-environment factors.
Understanding the built environment’s impact on metro ridership is essential for developing targeted strategies for built environment renewal. Taking into consideration the limitations of existing studies, such as not proposing targeted strategies, using unified pedestrian catchment areas (PCA), and not determining the model’s accuracy, Beijing was divided into three zones from inside to outside by the distribution pattern of metro stations. Three PCAs were assumed for each zone and a total of 27 PCA combinations. The study compared the accuracy of the Ordinary Least Square (OLS) and several machine learning models under each PCA combination to determine the model to be used in this study and the recommended PCA combination for the three zones. Under the recommended PCA combinations for the three zones, the model with the highest accuracy was used to explore the built environment’s impact on metro ridership. Finally, prioritized stations for renewal were identified based on ridership and the built environment’s impact on metro ridership. The results are as follows: (1) The eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) model has a higher accuracy and was appropriate for this study. The recommended PCA combination for the three zones in Beijing was 1000 m_1200 m_1800 m. (2) During the morning peak hours, the density of office and apartment facilities greatly influenced the ridership, with a strong threshold effect and spatial heterogeneity. Our research framework also provides a new way for other cities to determine the scope of Transit-Oriented Development (TOD) and proposes a new decision-making method for improving the vibrancy of metro stations.
Unequal distribution of healthcare resources can lead to many fundamental problems, including the accessibility and equity of care in different regions. Existing studies often focus on administrative divisions, street zones, and conducting analyses of healthcare accessibility, but there is a lack of research on healthcare accessibility analysis specifically targeting apartment complexes. Furthermore, there is insufficient consideration of the impact of out-of-vehicle time on healthcare accessibility through public transportation. Taking Beijing’s 5th Ring Road area as an example, we used multiple data sources to construct a framework for the accessibility of medical care in apartment complexes using public transportation. We assumed two scenarios of 1/2 and 1/3 reduction in out-of-vehicle time. We compared and analyzed the changes in accessibility and equity under the two scenarios to investigate the impact of out-of-vehicle time on accessibility and equity of medical care in apartment complexes. The results show that (1) reducing out-of-vehicle time does not guarantee increased accessibility to all apartment complexes. (2) Under both scenarios, the accessibility of most apartment complexes within the fourth and fifth rings increased, and the accessibility of most apartment complexes within the Daxing District increased; otherwise, the accessibility of most apartment complexes in other areas decreased, and the decrease in accessibility was more significant for the scenario with a 1/2 reduction in out-of-vehicle time than for the scenario with a 1/3 reduction in out-of-vehicle time. (3) In both scenarios, the Gini coefficients of residential accessibility were calculated separately for inter-ring and administrative divisions, and the equity of residential accessibility increased in each division; the equity of accessibility increased more with a 1/2 out-of-vehicle time reduction than with a 1/3 out-of-vehicle time reduction. The framework proposed in this paper allows us to analyze the impact of out-of-vehicle time of public transportation on accessibility to medical care for apartment complexes.