On 4 October 2023, a glacier lake outburst flood (GLOF) occurred at South Lhonak Lake in the northwest of Sikkim, India, posing a severe threat to downstream lives and property. Given the serious consequences of GLOFs, understanding their triggering factors is urgent. This paper conducts a comprehensive analysis of optical imagery and InSAR deformation results to study changes in the surrounding surface of the glacial lake before and after the GLOF event. To expedite the processing of massive InSAR data, an InSAR processing system based on the SBAS-InSAR data processing flow and the AI Earth cloud platform was developed. Sentinel-1 SAR images spanning from January 2021 to March 2024 were used to calculate surface deformation velocity. The evolution of the lake area and surface variations in the landslide area were observed using optical images. The results reveal a significant deformation area within the moraine encircling the lake before the GLOF, aligning with the area where the landslide ultimately occurred. Further research suggests a certain correlation between InSAR deformation results and multiple factors, such as rainfall, lake area, and slope. We speculate that heavy rainfall triggering landslides in the moraine may have contributed to breaching the moraine dam and causing the GLOF. Although the landslide region is relatively stable overall, the presence of a crack in the toparea of landslide raises concerns about potential secondary landslides. Our study may improve GLOF risk assessment and management, thereby mitigating or preventing their hazards.

Glacial Lake Outburst Flood (GLOF) events, particularly prevalent in Asia’s High Mountain regions, pose a significant threat to downstream regions. However, limited understanding of triggering mechanisms and inadequate observations pose significant barriers for early warnings of impending GLOFs. The 2018 Nyalam GLOF event in southern Tibet offers a valuable opportunity for retrospective analysis. By combining optical and radar remote sensing images, meteorological data, and seismicity catalogs, we examined the spatiotemporal evolution, triggering factors, and the outburst mechanism of this event. Our analysis reveals a progressive retreat of 400–800 m for the parent glaciers between 1991 and 2018, increasing the runoff areas at glacier termini by 167% from 2015 to 2018 and contributing abundant meltwater to the glacial lake. In contrast, the lake size shrunk, potentially due to a weakening moraine dam confirmed by SAR interferometry, which detected continuous subsidence with a maximum line-of-sight (LOS) rate of ~120 mm/a over the preceding ~2.5 years. Additionally, temperature and precipitation in 2018 exceeded the prior decade’s average. Notably, no major earthquakes preceded the event. Based on these observations, we propose a likely joint mechanism involving high temperatures, heavy precipitation, and dam instability. An elevated temperature and precipitation accelerated glacial melt, increasing lake water volume and seepage through the moraine dam. This ultimately compromised dam stability and led to its failure between 3 August 2018 and 6 August 2018. Our findings demonstrate the existence of precursory signs for impending GLOFs. By monitoring the spatiotemporal evolution of environmental factors and deformation, it is possible to evaluate glacial lake risk levels. This work contributes to a more comprehensive understanding of GLOF mechanisms and is of significant importance for future glacial lake risk assessments.

Relevant studies have shown that methane gas has a close relationship with seismic activity. The concentration of methane released within a tectonic zone can reflect the intensity status of tectonic activities, which is important for seismic monitoring. In this study, the January 2020 Xinjiang Jiashi earthquake was taken as the research object, and the mature Robust Satellite Technique (RST) algorithm was used to characterize the L3-level methane product data from the hyperspectral sensor, Atmospheric Infrared Sounder (AIRS), installed on the Earth Observing System (EOS) AQUA satellite at the monthly scale, 8-day scale and daily scale. An analysis of the spatial and temporal distribution of methane was carried out for before and after the earthquake based on the 3D structural condition of the gas, and the 3D structural conditions of the 8-day scale were introduced. An 8-day scale 3D structural condition was introduced and migration validation was performed, and the results showed that (1) the seismic methane anomaly-extraction process proposed in this study is feasible; (2) the 3D contour features indicated that the methane anomalies that occurred before the Jiashi earthquake were caused by geogenic emissions; (3) the anomaly-extraction algorithm from this study did not extract the corresponding anomalies in the non-seismic year, which indicated that the anomaly-extraction algorithm of this study has some degree of feasibility; and (4) the migrated validation of the Wenchuan earthquake of May 2008 further suggested that methane anomalies at the time of the Wenchuan earthquake were caused by the earthquake.

An earthquake is a process during which the Earth’s tectonic stress accumulates to a certain intensity, breaking through the critical value of rock elastic rupture and releasing energy quickly. Previous studies have shown that thermal infrared radiation (TIR) changes relative to stress in loaded rocks. The results of mechanical rock loading and fracture tests show that the infrared radiation generated during rock failure exhibits a time series phase change with respect to microintensification–intensification–attenuation–intensification–quietness synchronization, which provides a physical basis, monitoring content, and abnormal evaluation criteria for infrared remote sensing earthquake monitoring and prediction. Tidal force (TF) is an essential external mechanical factor that triggers earthquakes when crustal stress reaches a critical state. It is also the only physical parameter of earth deformations that can be calculated in advance and has an indicative advantage over time. Therefore, the extraction of seismic thermal anomalies based on tidal forces is helpful for obtaining infrared anomalies that conform to the radiation variation law of rock stress rupture as it can improve the recognition level of seismic infrared anomalies in time and space. In this study, the relationship between OLR and earthquake was studied by combining the celestial tide generating force with the OLR data of China Fengyun satellite, and the breeding and occurrence process of earthquake was discussed. The results show that the tidal force of celestial bodies has an induced effect on the earthquake, and the anomaly of long-wave radiation may be the radiation characterization of stress and strain in the process of earthquake incubation. After that, the abnormal period was tracked and verified by using NOAA satellite OLR product data, and it was found that the characteristics of the two results were relatively consistent, which further demonstrated that the FY satellite OLR data can be better applied to seismic anomaly monitoring.