The TrafficRiskClassifier model introduced in this study adopts an innovative approach that incorporates migration learning, image classification, and self-supervised learning, aiming to significantly improve the accuracy and efficiency of traffic accident risk analysis. Compared with traditional traffic safety analysis techniques, this model focuses on utilizing contextual information and situational data of traffic accidents to achieve a higher level of risk classification accuracy. The core of this approach is to deeply mine and analyze the detailed information in the accident environment, to provide more scientific and effective support for traffic accident risk prevention and response. Initially, by integrating migration learning with image classification techniques, the model proficiently extracts pivotal features from intricate traffic scenarios and formulates initial assessments of accident risks. Subsequently, self-supervised learning is incorporated in this study, augmenting the model's capability to comprehend and categorize accident imagery. The TrafficRiskClassifier model exhibits a generalization ability of 91.82%, 85.16%, and 80.92% on individual classification tasks, respectively, signifying its robust learning capacity and proficiency in managing unseen data. Furthermore, the TrafficRiskClassifier model delineates a functional nexus between accident risk and variables such as weather, road conditions, and personal factors, employing a polynomial regression approach. This methodology not only amplifies the predictive precision of the model but also renders it versatile across diverse scenarios. Through the analysis of various polynomial functions, the model achieves enhanced accuracy in classifying disparate risk levels. The outcomes demonstrate that the TrafficRiskClassifier model can efficaciously amalgamate contextual information within traffic scenarios, thereby achieving more precise classification of traffic accident risks, and consequently serving as an invaluable instrument for urban traffic safety management.

This study aims to improve the accuracy of predicting the severity of traffic accidents by developing an innovative traffic accident risk prediction model—StackTrafficRiskPrediction. The model combines multidimensional data analysis including environmental factors, human factors, roadway characteristics, and accident-related meta-features. In the model comparison, the StackTrafficRiskPrediction model achieves an accuracy of 0.9613, 0.9069, and 0.7508 in predicting fatal, serious, and minor accidents, respectively, which significantly outperforms the traditional logistic regression model. In the experimental part, we analyzed the severity of traffic accidents under different age groups of drivers, driving experience, road conditions, light and weather conditions. The results showed that drivers between 31 and 50 years of age with 2 to 5 years of driving experience were more likely to be involved in serious crashes. In addition, it was found that drivers tend to adopt a more cautious driving style in poor road and weather conditions, which increases the margin of safety. In terms of model evaluation, the StackTrafficRiskPrediction model performs best in terms of accuracy, recall, and ROC–AUC values, but performs poorly in predicting small-sample categories. Our study also revealed limitations of the current methodology, such as the sample imbalance problem and the limitations of environmental and human factors in the study. Future research can overcome these limitations by collecting more diverse data, exploring a wider range of influencing factors, and applying more advanced data analysis techniques.

Early traffic accident risk prediction in complex road environments poses significant challenges due to the heterogeneous nature and incomplete semantic alignment of multimodal data. To address this, we propose a novel Early Accident Risk Cross-modal Collaborative Perception Mechanism Network (EAR-CCPM-Net) that integrates hierarchical fusion modules and cross-modal attention mechanisms to enable semantic interaction between visual, motion, and textual modalities. The model is trained and evaluated on the newly constructed CAP-DATA dataset, incorporating advanced preprocessing techniques such as bilateral filtering and a rigorous MINI-Train-Test sampling protocol. Experimental results show that EAR-CCPM-Net achieves an AUC of 0.853, AP of 0.758, and improves the Time-to-Accident (TTA_0.5) from 3.927 s to 4.225 s, significantly outperforming baseline methods. These findings demonstrate that EAR-CCPM-Net effectively enhances early-stage semantic perception and prediction accuracy, providing an interpretable solution for real-world traffic risk anticipation.

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Global public safety is increasingly threatened by frequent road traffic accidents, making early accident risk prediction essential for intelligent transportation systems. However, incomplete multimodal data and insufficient spatiotemporal modeling lead to unstable performance in real-world scenarios with sensor failure, data loss, or visual occlusion. To address these issues, we propose the Early Accident Risk Multi-Level Spatiotemporal Robustness Network (EAR-MLSR-Net). Unlike conventional GCN-LSTM or Transformer-based architectures that separately model spatial and temporal dependencies, EAR-MLSR-Net introduces a multi-level spatiotemporal learning paradigm, which jointly models local spatial interactions, regional propagation patterns, and global temporal evolution in a unified hierarchical framework, enabling more structured dependency learning across scales. The proposed EAR-MLSR-Net follows a hierarchical multi-level spatiotemporal learning paradigm that integrates spatial reasoning, cross-modal temporal alignment, and multi-scale temporal dynamics modeling into a unified framework. Experiments conducted on the large-scale CAP-DATA dataset, which contains over 11,727 traffic scenarios and multimodal sensor records, demonstrate that EAR-MLSR-Net achieves an AUC of 0.860, an AP of 0.764, and a TTA_0.5 of 4.252 s. Compared with the strongest baseline, the proposed method achieves a 1.40% improvement in AUC and a 2.10% improvement in AP, while reducing performance degradation by 0.012 under missing-modality conditions.