The aim of the study is to estimate the incidence of pancreatic cancer among individuals with new-onset type 2 Diabetes (T2DM) and evaluate the relationship of pancreatic cancer risk with age at diabetes onset and diabetes duration. This longitudinal cohort study included 428,362 new-onset T2DM patients in Shanghai and Mendelian randomization (MR) in the east-Asian population were used to investigate the association. Incidence rates of pancreatic cancer in all patients and by subgroups were calculated and compared to the general population. A total of 1056 incident pancreatic cancer cases were identified during eight consecutive years of follow-up. The overall pancreatic cancer annual incidence rate was 55·28/100,000 person years in T2DM patients, higher than that in the general population, with a standardized incidence ratio (SIR) of 1·54 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1·45-1·64). The incidence of pancreatic cancer increased with age and a significantly higher incidence was observed in the older groups with T2DM. However, the relative pancreatic cancer risk was inversely related to age of T2DM onset, and a higher SIR of 5·73 (95%CI, 4·49-7·22) was observed in the 20-54 years old group. The risk of pancreatic cancer was elevated at any diabetes duration. Fasting blood glucose ≥10·0 mmol/L was associated with increased risk of pancreatic cancer. MR analysis indicated a positive association between T2DM and pancreatic cancer risk. Efforts toward early and close follow-up programs, especially in individuals with young-onset T2DM, and the improvement of glucose control might represent effective strategies for improving the detection and results of treatment of pancreatic cancer. Chinese National Natural Science Foundation.

Background: Whether cardiovascular risk is more tightly associated with central (cSBP) than brachial (bSBP) systolic pressure remains debated, because of their close correlation and uncertain thresholds to differentiate cSBP into normotension versus hypertension. Methods: In a person-level meta-analysis of the International Database of Central Arterial Properties for Risk Stratification (n=5576; 54.1% women; mean age 54.2 years), outcome-driven thresholds for cSBP were determined and whether the cross-classification of cSBP and bSBP improved risk stratification was explored. cSBP was tonometrically estimated from the radial pulse wave using SphygmoCor software. Results: Over 4.1 years (median), 255 composite cardiovascular end points occurred. In multivariable bootstrapped analyses, cSBP thresholds (in mm Hg) of 110.5 (95% CI, 109.1–111.8), 120.2 (119.4–121.0), 130.0 (129.6–130.3), and 149.5 (148.4–150.5) generated 5-year cardiovascular risks equivalent to the American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association bSBP thresholds of 120, 130, 140, and 160. Applying 120/130 mm Hg as cSBP/bSBP thresholds delineated concordant central and brachial normotension (43.1%) and hypertension (48.2%) versus isolated brachial hypertension (5.0%) and isolated central hypertension (3.7%). With concordant normotension as reference, the multivariable hazard ratios for the cardiovascular end point were 1.30 (95% CI, 0.58–2.94) for isolated brachial hypertension, 2.28 (1.21–4.30) for isolated central hypertension, and 2.02 (1.41–2.91) for concordant hypertension. The increased cardiovascular risk associated with isolated central and concordant hypertension was paralleled by cerebrovascular end points with hazard ratios of 3.71 (1.37–10.06) and 2.60 (1.35–5.00), respectively. Conclusions: Irrespective of the brachial blood pressure status, central hypertension increased cardiovascular and cerebrovascular risk indicating the importance of controlling central hypertension.

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is underdiagnosed and especially undertreated in China. We aimed to investigate the prevalence of unknown and untreated AF in community residents (≥65 years old) and to determine whether an education intervention could improve oral anticoagulant (OAC) prescription. We performed a single–time point screening for AF with a handheld single-lead electrocardiography (ECG) in Chinese residents (≥65 years old) in 5 community health centers in Shanghai from April to September 2017. Disease education and advice on referral to specialist clinics for OAC treatment were provided to all patients with actionable AF (newly detected or undertreated known AF) at the time of screening, and education was reinforced at 1 month. Follow-up occurred at 12 months. In total, 4,531 participants were screened (response rate 94.7%, mean age 71.6 ± 6.3 years, 44% male). Overall AF prevalence was 4.0% (known AF 3.5% [n = 161], new AF 0.5% [n = 22]). The 183 patients with AF were older (p < 0.001), taller (p = 0.02), and more likely to be male (p = 0.01), and they had a higher prevalence of cardiovascular disease than those without AF (p < 0.001). In total, 85% (155/183) of patients were recommended for OAC treatment by the established guidelines (CHA₂DS₂-VASc ≥ 2 for men; ≥ 3 for women). OAC prescription rate for known AF was 20% (28/138), and actionable AF constituted 2.8% of all those screened. At the 12-month follow-up in 103 patients (81% complete), despite disease education and advice on specialist referral, only 17 attended specialist clinics, and 4 were prescribed OAC. Of those not attending specialist clinics, 71 chose instead to attend community health centers or secondary hospital clinics, with none prescribed OAC, and 15 had no review. Of the 17 patients with new AF and a class 1 recommendation for OAC, only 3 attended a specialist clinic, and none were prescribed OAC. Of the 28 AF patients taking OAC at baseline, OAC was no longer taken in 4. Ischemic stroke (n = 2) or death (n = 3) occurred in 5/126 (4%), with none receiving OAC. As screening was performed at a single time point, some paroxysmal AF cases may have been missed; thus, the rate of new AF may be underestimated. We demonstrated a noticeable gap in AF detection and treatment in community-based elderly Chinese: actionable AF constituted a high proportion of those screened. Disease education and advice on specialist referral are insufficient to close the gap. Before more frequent or intensive screening for unknown AF could be recommended in China, greater efforts must be made to increase appropriate OAC therapy in known AF to prevent AF-related stroke.

BACKGROUND: Aortic pulse wave velocity (PWV) predicts cardiovascular events (CVEs) and total mortality (TM), but previous studies proposing actionable PWV thresholds have limited generalizability. This individual-participant meta-analysis is aimed at defining, testing calibration, and validating an outcome-driven threshold for PWV, using 2 populations studies, respectively, for derivation IDCARS (International Database of Central Arterial Properties for Risk Stratification) and replication MONICA (Monitoring of Trends and Determinants in Cardiovascular Disease Health Survey – Copenhagen). METHODS: A risk-carrying PWV threshold for CVE and TM was defined by multivariable Cox regression, using stepwise increasing PWV thresholds and by determining the threshold yielding a 5-year risk equivalent with systolic blood pressure of 140 mm Hg. The predictive performance of the PWV threshold was assessed by computing the integrated discrimination improvement and the net reclassification improvement. RESULTS: In well-calibrated models in IDCARS, the risk-carrying PWV thresholds converged at 9 m/s (10 m/s considering the anatomic pulse wave travel distance). With full adjustments applied, the threshold predicted CVE (hazard ratio [CI]: 1.68 [1.15–2.45]) and TM (1.61 [1.01–2.55]) in IDCARS and in MONICA (1.40 [1.09–1.79] and 1.55 [1.23–1.95]). In IDCARS and MONICA, the predictive accuracy of the threshold for both end points was ≈0.75. Integrated discrimination improvement was significant for TM in IDCARS and for both TM and CVE in MONICA, whereas net reclassification improvement was not for any outcome. CONCLUSIONS: PWV integrates multiple risk factors into a single variable and might replace a large panel of traditional risk factors. Exceeding the outcome-driven PWV threshold should motivate clinicians to stringent management of risk factors, in particular hypertension, which over a person’s lifetime causes stiffening of the elastic arteries as waypoint to CVE and death.

Objective: To assess the causal effect of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) on male infertility (MI) and erectile dysfunction (ED) by Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis.Methods: Data for T2DM, MI, and ED were obtained from genome-wide association studies (GWAS) involving 298, 957, 73, 479, and 223, 805 Europeans, respectively. We performed univariate MR analysis using MR Egger, Weighted median (WM) and Inverse variance weighted (IVW) methods to assess causal effects among the three. Through the Genotype Tissue Expression (GTEx) database, single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) that affect the expression levels of T2DM-related genes were located using expression quantitative trait loci (eQTL).Results: MR analysis showed a significant causal relationship between T2DM and ED (WM, OR: 1.180, 95%CI: 1.010-1.378, P = 0.037; IVW, OR: 1.190, 95%CI: 1.084-1.300, P < 0.001). There is also a significant causal relationship between T2DM and MI (MR Egger, OR: 0.549, 95%CI: 0.317-0.952, P = 0.037; WM, OR: 0.593, 95%CI: 0.400, P = 0.010; IVW, OR: 0.767, 95%CI: 0.600-0.980, P = 0.034). ED may not cause MI (P > 0.05). We also found that rs6585827 corresponding to the PLEKHA1 gene associated with T2DM is an eQTL variant affecting the expression of this gene.Conclusion: T2DM has a direct causal effect on ED and MI. The level of PLEKHA1 expression suppressed by rs6585827 is potentially associated with a lower risk of T2DM.

We aim to determine if visit‐to‐visit blood pressure variability (BPV) adds prognostic value for all‐cause mortality independently of the Framingham risk score (FRS) in the systolic blood pressure intervention trial (SPRINT). We defined BPV as variability independent of the mean (VIM) and the difference of maximum minus minimum (MMD) of the systolic blood pressure (SBP). Multivariable Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate the hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI). Based on FRS stratification, there were 1035, 2911, and 4050 participants in the low‐, intermediate‐, and high‐risk groups, respectively. During the trial, 230 deaths occurred since the 12th month with an average follow‐up of 2.5 years. In continuous analysis, 1‐SD increase of SBP VIM and MMD were significantly associated with all‐cause mortality (HR 1.18, 95% CI 1.05–1.32, p = .005; and HR 1.21, 95% CI 1.09–1.35, p < .001, respectively). In category analysis, the highest quintile of BPV compared with the lowest quintile had significantly higher risk of all‐cause mortality. Cross‐tabulation analysis showed that the 3rd tertile of SBP VIM in the high‐risk group had the highest HR of all‐cause mortality in total population (HR 4.99; 95% CI 1.57–15.90; p = .007), as well as in intensive‐therapy group (HR 7.48; 95% CI 1.01–55.45; p = .05) analyzed separately. Cross‐tabulation analysis of SBP MMD had the same pattern as VIM showed above. In conclusion, visit‐to‐visit BPV was an independent predictor of all‐cause mortality, when accounting for conventional risk factors or FRS. BPV combined with FRS conferred an increased risk for all‐cause mortality in the SPRINT trial.