In this paper, we replace the standard numerical approach of estimating parameters in a mathematical model using numerical solvers for differential equations with a physics-informed neural network (PINN). This neural network requires a sequence of time instances as direct input of the network and the numbers of susceptibles, vaccinated, infected, hospitalized, and recovered individuals per time instance to learn certain parameters of the underlying model, which are used for the loss calculations.The established model is an extended susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) model in which the transitions between disease-related population groups, called compartments, and the physical laws of epidemic transmission dynamics are expressed by a system of ordinary differential equations (ODEs). The system of ODEs and its time derivative are included in the residual loss function of the PINN in addition to the data error between the current network output and the time series data of the compartment sizes. Further, we illustrate how this PINN approach can also be used for differential equation-based models such as the proposed extended SIR model, called SVIHR model.In a validation process, we compare the performance of the PINN with results obtained with the numerical technique of non-standard finite differences (NSFD) in generating future COVID-19 scenarios based on the parameters identified by the PINN. The used training data set covers the time between the outbreak of the pandemic in Germany and the last week of the year 2021.We obtain a two-step or hybrid approach, as the PINN is then used to generate a future COVID-19 outbreak scenario describing a possibly next pandemic wave. The week at which the prediction starts is chosen in mid-April 2022.

In this work, we investigate the transmission dynamics of the Zika virus, considering both a compartmental model involving humans and mosquitoes and an extended model that introduces a non-human primate (monkey) as a second reservoir host. The novelty of our approach lies in the later generalization of the model using a fractional time derivative. The significance of this study is underscored by its contribution to understanding the complex dynamics of Zika virus transmission. Unlike previous studies, we incorporate a non-human primate reservoir host into the model, providing a more comprehensive representation of the disease spread. Our results reveal the importance of utilizing a nonstandard finite difference (NSFD) scheme to simulate the disease's dynamics accurately. This NSFD scheme ensures the positivity of the solution and captures the correct asymptotic behavior, addressing a crucial limitation of standard solvers like the Runge-Kutta Fehlberg method ($\texttt{ode45}$). The numerical simulations vividly demonstrate the advantages of our approach, particularly in terms of positivity preservation, offering a more reliable depiction of Zika virus transmission dynamics. From these findings, we draw the conclusion that considering a non-human primate reservoir host and employing an NSFD scheme significantly enhances the accuracy and reliability of modeling Zika virus transmission. Researchers and policymakers can use these insights to develop more effective strategies for disease control and prevention.

Our research involves analyzing the latest models used for electricity price forecasting, which include both traditional inferential statistical methods and newer deep learning techniques. Through our analysis of historical data and the use of multiple weekday dummies, we have proposed an innovative solution for forecasting electricity spot prices. This solution involves breaking down the spot price series into two components: a seasonal trend component and a stochastic component. By utilizing this approach, we are able to provide highly accurate predictions for all considered time frames.