This research explores the geomechanical challenges associated with gas hydrate extraction in submarine slope zones, a setting posing a high risk of significant geological calamities. We investigate slope and wellbore deformations driven by hydrate decomposition within a subsea environment. Utilizing Abaqus, a fluid-solid-thermal multi-field coupling model for gas hydrate reservoirs was created. Hydrate decomposition during drilling is minimal, resulting in minor formation deformation near the wellbore. However, a year of hydrate production caused a maximum displacement of up to 7 m in the wellbore and formation, highlighting the risk of submarine landslides. This indicates the need for meticulous surveillance of formation subsidence and wellhead equipment displacement. In the aftermath of a hydrate-induced submarine landslide, both the hydrate layer and the overlying strata descend together, inflicting considerable damage on the formation and wellbore. Our study presents a holistic examination of the interplay between environmental geomechanics risks and engineering structure risks for submarine slope instability and wellbore stability during hydrate development, providing crucial insights for enhancing safety measures in hydrate drilling and production, and ensuring wellbore stability.

Submarine hydrate mining can trigger geological disasters, including submarine landslides and seafloor subsidence due to excess pore pressure and weakened layers, which may potentially lead to the reactivation of faults and increased seismic activity. However, current research encounters challenges in assessing geotechnical issues associated with long-term and large-scale production from well grids located in sloped areas. Limited by the complexity of the hydrate sediment, a multifield coupled numerical model of hydrate slope in the Shenhu area was established. Utilizing the modified Mohr–Coulomb model as the constitutive model for hydrate-bearing sediments to track the dynamic reduction in strength and employing the shear strength method to assess submarine slope stability, a series of depressurization strategies are applied to evaluate the risks associated with submarine landslides and seafloor subsidence. Results show that the hydrate dissociation tends to stagnate after a period of mining. The strength of the hydrate decomposed area is severely reduced, and a volume deficit occurs in this area, causing formation displacement. The peripheral region of the decomposed area is compacted by high stress, resulting in a serious decrease in permeability and porosity, which limits the continued decomposition of hydrates. The large-scale submarine landslides with hydrates decomposition will not appear in this block. However, several meters’ seafloor subsidence over a wide range risks engineering safety significantly. The amount of seafloor subsidence in the first 50 days is approximately half of the final settlement. A higher production pressure drop can speed up the recovery rate while resulting in more significant seafloor subsidence and slippage. Therefore, the balance between mining speed and formation stability needs more research work.