Mehran Nasseri

Mr. Mehran Nasseri

orcid

Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

4Years (2023-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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9 October 2023 in Applied Sciences
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
MNMehran Nasseri
Mehran Nasseri
TFTaha Falatouri
Taha Falatouri
PBPatrick Brandtner
Patrick Brandtner
FDFarzaneh Darbanian
Farzaneh Darbanian
In the realm of retail supply chain management, accurate forecasting is paramount for informed decision making, as it directly impacts business operations and profitability. This study delves into the application of tree-based ensemble forecasting, specifically using extra tree Regressors (ETRs) and long short-term memory (LSTM) networks. Utilizing over six years of historical demand data from a prominent retail entity, the dataset encompasses daily demand metrics for more than 330 products, totaling 5.2 million records. Additionally, external variables, such as meteorological and COVID-19-related data, are integrated into the analysis. Our evaluation, spanning three perishable product categories, reveals that the ETR model outperforms LSTM in metrics including MAPE, MAE, RMSE, and R2. This disparity in performance is particularly pronounced for fresh meat products, whereas it is marginal for fruit products. These ETR results were evaluated alongside three other tree-based ensemble methods, namely XGBoost, Random Forest Regression (RFR), and Gradient Boosting Regression (GBR). The comparable performance across these four tree-based ensemble techniques serves to reinforce their comparative analysis with LSTM-based deep learning models. Our findings pave the way for future studies to assess the comparative efficacy of tree-based ensembles and deep learning techniques across varying forecasting horizons, such as short-, medium-, and long-term predictions.



28 June 2024 in The International Review of Retail, Distribution and Consumer Research
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
TFTaha Falatouri
Taha Falatouri
PBPatrick Brandtner
Patrick Brandtner
MNMehran Nasseri
Mehran Nasseri
FDFarzaneh Darbanian
Farzaneh Darbanian