River flooding—the world's most significant natural hazard—is likely to increase under anthropogenic climate change. Most large rivers have been regulated by damming, but the extent to which these impoundments can mitigate extreme flooding remains uncertain. Here the catastrophic 2016 flood on the Changjiang River is first analyzed to assess the effects of both the Changjiang's reservoir cascade and the Three Gorges Dam (TGD), the world's largest hydraulic engineering project on downstream flood discharge and water levels. We show that the Changjiang's reservoir cascade impounded over 30.0 × 103 m3/s of flow at the peak of the flood on 25 July 2016, preventing the occurrence of what would otherwise have been the second largest flood ever recorded in the reach downstream of the TGD. Half of this flood water storage was retained by the TGD alone, meaning that impoundment by the TGD reduced peak water levels at the Datong hydrometric station (on 25 July) by 1.47 m, compared to pre‐TGD conditions. However, downstream morphological changes, in particular, extensive erosion of the natural floodplain, offset this reduction in water level by 0.22 m, so that the full beneficial impact of floodwater retention by the TGD was not fully realized. Our results highlight how morphological adjustments downstream of large dams may inhibit their full potential to mitigate extreme flood risk.
Pre-Holocene landslides and tsunami deposits are commonly observed on continental margins and oceanic islands. However, scarce evidence has thus far linked pre-historic submarine landslides to particular tsunami events. This work focuses on an 839 km3 submarine landslide that occurred in the South China Sea at 0.54 Ma. Bathymetric restorations show that the paleoshoreline at 0.54 Ma was 180–580 km to the south of its present-day location. In such a setting, the tsunami triggered by the landslide at 0.54 Ma was able to generate larger waves with shorter arrive times when compared to an equivalent landslide-generated tsunami under present-day conditions. This observation proves that tsunamis generated by submarine landslides during sea-level lowstands caused catastrophic damage to the South China Sea coast in the past, and so will do in future sea-level lowstands. This study stresses the importance of restoring paleoshorelines for detailed analysis of historic landslide-generated tsunamis.