Load forecasting has significant implications on optimizing the operation of air conditioning systems for industrial mushroom houses and energy saving. This research paper presents a novel approach for short-term load forecasting in mushroom houses, which face challenges in accurately modeling cold and heat loads due to the complex interplay of various factors, including climatic conditions, mushroom growth, and equipment operation. The proposed method combines empirical wavelet transform (EWT), hybrid autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA), convolutional neural network (CNN), and bi-directional long short-term memory (BiLSTM) with an attention mechanism (CNN-BiLSTM-Attention) to address these challenges. The first step of this method was to select input features via the Boruta algorithm. Then, the EWT method was used to decompose the load data of mushroom houses into four modal components. Subsequently, the Lempel–Ziv method was introduced to classify the modal components into high-frequency and low-frequency classes. CNN-BiLSTM-Attention and ARIMA prediction models were constructed for these two classes, respectively. Finally, the predictions from both classes were combined and reconstructed to obtain the final load forecasting value. The experimental results show that the Boruta algorithm selects key influential feature factors effectively. Compared to the Spearman and Pearson correlation coefficient methods, the mean absolute error (MAE) of the prediction results is reduced by 14.72% and 3.75%, respectively. Compared to the ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD) method, the EWT method can reduce the decomposition reconstruction error by an order of magnitude of ${10}^3$, effectively improving the accuracy of the prediction model. The proposed model in this paper exhibits significant advantages in prediction performance compared to the single neural network model, with the MAE, root mean square error (RMSE), and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of the prediction results reduced by 31.06%, 26.52%, and 39.27%, respectively.

In view of the problem that the hot and cold loads of mushroom houses are affected by multiple factors such as environment, mushrooms, and equipment, which are difficult to accurately model, this paper proposes a short-term load prediction method based on empirical wavelet transform (EWT) and mixed autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) and convolutional bi-directional short- and long-term attention mechanism (CNN-BiLSTM-Attention). The method first uses the Boruta algorithm to filter the input characteristics, and then uses the EWT method to decompose the mushroom house load data into 4 modal components. Then the Lempel-Ziv method is introduced to divide the modal components into two categories of high and low frequencies, and the CNN-BiLSTM-Attention and ARIMA prediction models are constructed separately. Finally, the two types of prediction results are superimposed and reconstructed to obtain the final load prediction value. The test results show that the Boruta algorithm can effectively filter out the characteristics of key influencing factors. Compared with the Spearman and Pearson correlation coefficient methods, the mean absolute error (MAE) of the prediction results is reduced by 14.72% and 3.75%, respectively; compared with the ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD) method, the EWT method can increase the decomposition and reconstruction error by 103 orders of magnitude, which can effectively improve the prediction accuracy of the model; compared with the individual neural network model, the prediction effect of the model proposed in this paper has obvious advantages, and the MAE, root mean square error (RMSE) and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of the prediction results are reduced respectively. 31.06%, 26.52% and 39.27%.