Tethered balloon systems encounter various complex wind field environments during flight. To investigate the conditions under which the system can operate safely and smoothly, a longitudinal dynamic model for tethered balloon systems is established. The model incorporates a streamlined balloon shape with its aerodynamic center at the body’s center. Steady-state aerodynamic force coefficients are calculated through simulations and fitted to a function based on the angle of attack within a specified range. The complex cable model is simplified using the lumped mass method, considering the influence of branch cables on the main node position. Experimental results from windless oscillation tests on scaled tethered balloon systems are compared with numerical solutions obtained using the dynamic model under the same conditions, validating the feasibility of the model for simulating different wind field scenarios. Finally, the motion characteristics of tethered balloon systems in different wind fields are analyzed. The numerical simulation results show that in a horizontal step wind field, the cable tension and cable inclination angle increase with the wind speed, and the slower the wind field changes, the shorter the time required for system stabilization. Updrafts greatly increase the likelihood of balloon escape, while downdrafts greatly increase the likelihood of the system making contact with the ground. The findings of this study can provide a basis for selecting suitable wind field conditions and issuing risk warnings for tethered balloon systems.