Every morning, water suppliers need to define their pump schedules for the next 24 h for drinking water production. Plans must be designed in such a way that drinking water is always available and the amount of unused drinking water pumped into the network is reduced. Therefore, operators must accurately estimate the next day’s water consumption profile. In real-life applications with standard consumption profiles, some expert system or vector autoregressive models are used. Still, in recent years, significant improvements for time series prediction have been achieved through special deep learning algorithms called long short-term memory (LSTM) networks. This paper investigates the applicability of LSTM models for water demand prediction and optimal pump control and compares LSTMs against other methods currently used by water suppliers. It is shown that LSTMs outperform other methods since they can easily integrate additional information like the day of the week or national holidays. Furthermore, the online- and transfer-learning capabilities of the LSTMs are investigated. It is shown that LSTMs only need a couple of days of training data to achieve reasonable results. As the focus of the paper is on the real-world application of LSTMs, data from two different water distribution plants are used for benchmarking. Finally, it is shown that the LSTMs significantly outperform the system currently in operation.
The design and operation of water supply systems is a multicriteria task; the energy efficiency should be minimized while, at the same time, respecting technical requirements, such as the balanced operation of available pumps. On one hand, the overall system can be improved by the use of variable speed pumps. They increase the number of operating options. On the other hand, they add more complexity to the operation problem. In this paper, we discuss the difficulties associated with speed control and propose a decision support system to overcome them.
27 June 2024 in Engineering Applications of Artificial Intelligence
Wind comfort is an important factor when new buildings in existing urban areas are planned. It is common practice to use computational fluid dynamics (CFD) simulations to model wind comfort. These simulations are usually time-consuming, making it impossible to explore a high number of different design choices for a new urban development with wind simulations. Data-driven approaches based on simulations have shown great promise, and have recently been used to predict wind comfort in urban areas. These surrogate models could be used in generative design software and would enable the planner to explore a large number of options for a new design. In this paper, we propose a novel machine learning workflow (MLW) for direct wind comfort prediction. The MLW incorporates a regression and a classification U-Net, trained based on CFD simulations. Furthermore, we present an augmentation strategy focusing on generating more training data independent of the underlying wind statistics needed to calculate the wind comfort criterion. We train the models based on different sets of training data and compare the results. All trained models (regression and classification) yield an -score greater than 80% and can be combined with any wind rose statistic.