During the twentieth century, inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) was considered a disease of early industrialized regions in North America, Europe and Oceania¹. At the turn of the twenty-first century, IBD incidence increased in newly industrialized and emerging regions in Africa, Asia and Latin America, while the prevalence in early industrialized regions continued to grow steadily^2,3,4. Changes in the incidence and prevalence denote the evolution of IBD across four epidemiologic stages: stage 1 (emergence), characterized by low incidence and prevalence; stage 2 (acceleration in incidence), marked by rapidly rising incidence and low prevalence; and stage 3 (compounding prevalence), where the incidence decelerates, plateaus or declines while the prevalence steadily increases. A fourth stage (prevalence equilibrium) has been proposed in which the prevalence slope plateaus due to demographic shifts in an ageing IBD population, but it has not yet been evidenced. To date, these stages have remained theoretical, lacking specific numerical indicators to define transition points. Here, using real-world data from 522 population-based studies encompassing 82 global regions and spanning more than a century (1920–2024), we show spatiotemporal transitions across stages 1–3 and model stage 4 progression. Understanding the evolution of IBD across epidemiologic stages enables healthcare systems to better anticipate the future worldwide burden of IBD.

Hannah Gordon, Silvia Minozzi, Uri Kopylov, Bram Verstockt, Maria Chaparro, Christianne Buskens, Janindra Warusavitarne, Manasi Agrawal, Mariangela Allocca

Maintenance treatment with vedolizumab, a monoclonal antibody that inhibits the gut-selective α4β7 integrin, is administered intravenously. Some patients might prefer a subcutaneous formulation of vedolizumab for maintenance treatment. Vedolizumab SC was investigated as maintenance treatment in patients with moderately to severely active ulcerative colitis (UC). We performed a phase 3, double-blind, double-dummy trial, at 141 sites in 29 countries, from December 18, 2015 through August 21, 2018. Patients with moderately to severely active UC received open-label treatment with intravenous vedolizumab 300 mg at weeks 0 and 2. At week 6, patients with clinical response were randomly assigned maintenance treatment with subcutaneous vedolizumab (108 mg) every 2 weeks, intravenous vedolizumab 300 mg every 8 weeks, or placebo. The primary endpoint was clinical remission at week 52, defined as a total Mayo score of 2 or lower and no subscore greater than 1. Among 216 patients randomly assigned to groups, clinical remission at week 52 was achieved by 46.2%, 42.6%, and 14.3% of patients in the subcutaneous vedolizumab, intravenous vedolizumab, and placebo groups, respectively (subcutaneous vedolizumab vs placebo: Δ32.3%; 95% CI, 19.7%–45.0%; P<.001). The subcutaneous vedolizumab group also had greater endoscopic improvement and durable clinical response at week 52 compared with placebo (both P<.001). The incidence of injection-site reactions was more frequent in patients given subcutaneous vedolizumab (10.4%) than intravenous vedolizumab (1.9%) or placebo (0%); these were not treatment limiting, most were mild, and none resulted in discontinuation. Subcutaneous and intravenous vedolizumab safety profiles were otherwise similar. Subcutaneous vedolizumab is effective as maintenance therapy in patients with moderately to severely active UC who had a clinical response to intravenous vedolizumab induction therapy. It has a favorable safety and tolerability profile. ClinicalTrials.gov no: NCT02611830; EudraCT 2015-000480-14

This article is the second in a series of two publications on the European Crohn’s and Colitis Organisation [ECCO] evidence-based consensus on the management of Crohn’s disease. The first article covers medical management; the present article addresses surgical management, including preoperative aspects and drug management before surgery. It also provides technical advice for a variety of common clinical situations. Both articles together represent the evidence-based recommendations of the ECCO for Crohn’s disease and an update of prior ECCO Guidelines.