Emmanuel Chukwuemeka

Mr. Emmanuel Chukwuemeka

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Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

3Years (2024-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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28 December 2024 in Ecological Informatics
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
AAAymane Ahajjam
Aymane Ahajjam
MAM. Allgaier
M. Allgaier
RCR. Chance
R. Chance
ECEmmanuel Chukwuemeka
Emmanuel Chukwuemeka
JPJ. Putkonen
J. Putkonen
TPTimothy J Pasch
Timothy J Pasch

9 January 2024 in Forecasting
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
AAAymane Ahajjam
Aymane Ahajjam
JPJaakko Putkonen
Jaakko Putkonen
ECEmmanuel Chukwuemeka
Emmanuel Chukwuemeka
RCRobert Chance
Robert Chance
TPTimothy J Pasch
Timothy J Pasch
Local weather forecasts in the Arctic outside of settlements are challenging due to the dearth of ground-level observation stations and high computational costs. During winter, these forecasts are critical to help prepare for potentially hazardous weather conditions, while in spring, these forecasts may be used to determine flood risk during annual snow melt. To this end, a hybrid VMD-WT-InceptionTime model is proposed for multi-horizon multivariate forecasting of remote-region temperatures in Alaska over short-term horizons (the next seven days). First, the Spearman correlation coefficient is employed to analyze the relationship between each input variable and the forecast target temperature. The most output-correlated input sequences are decomposed using variational mode decomposition (VMD) and, ultimately, wavelet transform (WT) to extract time-frequency patterns intrinsic in the raw inputs. The resulting sequences are fed into a deep InceptionTime model for short-term forecasting. This hybrid technique has been developed and evaluated using 35+ years of data from three locations in Alaska. Different experiments and performance benchmarks are conducted using deep learning models (e.g., Time Series Transformers, LSTM, MiniRocket), and statistical and conventional machine learning baselines (e.g., GBDT, SVR, ARIMA). All forecasting performances are assessed using four metrics: the root mean squared error, the mean absolute percentage error, the coefficient of determination, and the mean directional accuracy. Superior forecasting performance is achieved consistently using the proposed hybrid technique.

1 January 2026 in IEEE Journal of Selected Topics in Applied Earth Observations and Remote Sensing
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
KFKyle Foerster
Kyle Foerster
TGTrevor Douglas Greene
Trevor Douglas Greene
AAAymane Ahajjam
Aymane Ahajjam
AWAndrew Wilcox
Andrew Wilcox
MSMary Soaper
Mary Soaper
TPTimothy J Pasch
Timothy J Pasch