In a world experiencing rapid urbanization, the phenomenon of land surface temperature (LST) variation has invited substantial attention due to its profound impact on the environment and human well-being. Changes in land use and land cover (LULC) within urban areas significantly influence the dynamics of LST and are a major driver of urban eco-environmental change. The complex connections between LULC dynamics, LST, and climate change are investigated in this systematic review, with a focus on the combined effects of these variables and the use of Machine Learning (ML) techniques. The data in this study, based on peer-reviewed publications from the past 25 years, were obtained from Science Direct and Web of Science databases. Based on our findings, Landsat is the most widely used dataset for analyzing the impacts of LULC on LST. Additionally, built-up areas, vegetation, and population density had the biggest effects on LST values based on focused studies. This systematic review reveals that Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs), Cellular Automata-Markov (CA-Markov), and Random Forest (RF) are the most used ML techniques in predicting LULC and LST. The study finds that NDBI and NDVI are recognized as the key LULC indices that have strong correlations with LST. We also highlight key LULC classes that have the most impact on LST variation. To validate the results, these studies employ Pearson correlation, the NDVI and NDBI index, and other linear regression methods. This review concludes by highlighting future research directions and the current need for interdisciplinary efforts to address the intricate dynamics of LULC and the Earth’s surface temperature.

Land use and land cover (LULC) changes significantly shape urban environments and directly impact ecological and socioeconomic systems. This study aims to explore these interconnections by employing the Cellular Automata–Markov (CA–Markov) model to assess and predict LULC dynamics in Arkansas. Historical LULC datasets from 2001 to 2021, obtained from the National Land Cover Database, were simplified from 11 into 5 classes to facilitate analysis and effectively map transitions. The model was validated by predicting LULC for 2016 and 2021 and comparing the predictions with the real maps, achieving an overall accuracy of approximately 91.9%, using model validation metrics, including precision, recall, F1-score, and Kappa Coefficient, and highlighting the strength of the predictions. Predictions for 2026 and 2031 reveal a continuous increase in built-up areas at the expense of vegetation cover, underscoring ongoing urbanization trends. Specifically, built-up areas are projected to increase from 28.39% in 2021 to 30.15% in 2031, while vegetation cover is expected to decline from 49.30% to 47.48%. This research demonstrates the utility of the CA–Markov model in simulating urban growth patterns and provides actionable insights into sustainable urban planning and land management strategies.

Wetlands are valuable natural resources that provide many services to both the environment and humans. Over the past several decades, climatic change and human activities have had a considerable impact on the water level of wetlands. Zarivar Lake, located in the northwestern region of Iran, represents a significant ecological unit and aquatic ecosystem. In this study, from 2015 to 2022, the relationship between seasonal changes in Zarivar Lake’s waterbody (LWB) area and weather factors like precipitation, evapotranspiration, and the temperature of the lake’s surface water (LSWT) were examined. For this purpose, the Google Earth Engine (GEE) cloud platform, a powerful and fast tool for processing the time series of images, was used. The LWB was extracted by utilizing the average images of the dual-polarized SAR Sentinel-1 imagery for each season. Furthermore, meteorological parameters encompass the utilization of the Landsat-8 satellite’s thermal band to determine LSWT by using statistical mono-window (SMW), the CHIRPS rainfall model data for assessing precipitation levels, and the employment of MODIS evapotranspiration products in the form of 8-day data. The study revealed significant correlations between variations in Zarivar Lake’s waterbody area and meteorological factors. Correlation coefficients indicated a positive relationship between LWB area and precipitation during the winter (r = 0.67) and spring (r = 0.73), while weaker positive correlations were observed in the summer (r = 0.29) and fall (r = 0.30). Conversely, the LWB area showed a relative relationship with LSWT, with positive correlations in winter (r = 0.10) and spring (r = 0.26), and negative correlations in summer (r = −0.30) and fall (r = −0.07). Additionally, evapotranspiration parameters aligned with precipitation changes throughout the seasons, highlighting the significant influence of climate on Zarivar Lake.

Urban heat islands (UHIs) significantly influence microclimatic conditions, energy consumption, and public health. This research leverages ensemble models and correlation analysis based on Landsat 5-8 satellite data to forecast LST and explore its environmental relationships. This study employed the XGBoost machine learning algorithm to model seasonal LST dynamics in three rapidly urbanizing Arkansas cities, including Fort Smith, Little Rock, and Northwest Arkansas, using Landsat imagery from 2001 to 2021. The results show significant increases in urban heat, particularly in the summer, with Fort Smith seeing an increase in the area classified in higher-temperature bins (35–45 °C) from approximately 33% in 2001 to more than 83% by 2021. Model validation showed high predictive performance (R² = 0.74–0.78, RMSE ≤1.46 °C), indicating reliable project-based estimation of spatial LST variability for 2026 and 2031. The results revealed a substantial intensification of built-up area expansion, to 9.8% by 2026 and 20.7% by 2031, accompanied by cropland reductions of 13.2% and 25.5%, respectively. This rapid urban growth is projected to elevate summer LSTs above 45 °C across more than 700 km² combined, and winter LSTs to ≥25 °C across nearly 125 km² in the region by 2031. The integration of Landsat time series data and machine learning provide valuable insights for urban planners and policymakers, underscoring the critical importance of targeted climate-resilient strategies and sustainable urban development practices.