The gold market has seen a steady price rise in recent years. Obviously, factors affecting gold prices include the fundamentals of aesthetic and precautionary demand for gold. This paper, utilizes the GMM model to analyze the effects of gold price on equity, bond and domestic credit in the ASEAN+3 countries (Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, China, Japan and South Korea). The results indicate that gold price significantly influences bond and equity market, particularly with any negative changes in equity market having positive effects on the price of gold. However, the effect that gold price has on domestic credit is not pronounced. The significant relationship between gold price, equity and bond market implies that the recent worldwide financial crisis and instability such as recession and deficit problems in the Euro zone and the US have increased the precautionary demand for gold in Southeast Asian countries, at least over the last five years
The objective of this paper is to contribute towards understanding the effects of palm oil production upon key macroeconomic variables in Malaysian economy. A dynamic general equilibrium model was employed in order to analyze the dynamic macroeconomic adjustment processes arising from palm oil production increase for Malaysian economy (the second biggest palm oil producer in world), operating under a managed float exchange rate regime. The model utilized in this paper is likely to be of interest to other palm oil-exporting economies with similar features such as that of Indonesia. Findings from this paper show that an increase in palm oil production would potentially result in an increase in private capital stock, private sector wealth, real income, public capital stock, human capital stock and non-palm oil output supply and demand. However, the revenue arising from the palm oil sector also has the potential to deteriorate the non-palm-oil trade balance through a slight loss of competitiveness from a real exchange rate appreciation.