Traditional hydrodynamic models face the significant challenge of balancing the demands of long prediction spans and precise boundary conditions, large computational areas, and low computational costs when attempting to rapidly and accurately predict the nonlinear spatial and temporal characteristics of fluids at the basin scale. To tackle this obstacle, this study constructed a novel deep learning framework with a hydrodynamic model for the rapid spatiotemporal prediction of hydrodynamics at the basin scale, named U-Net-ConvLSTM. A validated high-fidelity hydrodynamic mechanistic model was utilized to build a 20-year hydrodynamic indicator dataset of the middle and lower reaches of the Han River for the training and validation of U-Net-ConvLSTM. The findings indicate that the value of the model surpassed 0.99 when comparing the single-step prediction results with the target values. Additionally, the required computing time fell by 62.08% compared with the hydrodynamic model. The ablation tests demonstrate that the U-Net-ConvLSTM framework outperforms other frameworks in terms of accuracy for basin-scale hydrodynamic prediction. In the multi-step-ahead prediction scenarios, the prediction interval increased from 1 day to 5 days, while consistently maintaining an value above 0.7, which demonstrates the effectiveness of the model in the missing boundary conditions scenario. In summary, the U-Net-ConvLSTM framework is capable of making precise spatiotemporal predictions in hydrodynamics, which may be considered a high-performance computational solution for predicting hydrodynamics at the basin scale.
Main Functional Area Planning (MFAP) is a significant initiative in China, aimed at promoting coordinated socio-economic progress while ensuring resource capacity and environmental sustainability. However, there is a lack of quantitative assessments of China’s county-level agricultural development level (ADL) following the implementation of the MFAP. In this study, a coupled “agricultural product-agricultural space-agricultural population” evaluation index system which was based on plan requirements, remote sensing imagery, statistical data, and industry-specific information was proposed for assessing the development level of agricultural after implementing the MFAP, and we utilized the system to evaluate the ADL of 2850 counties across China from 2009 to 2015 at the county level. The results indicate that MFAP has played a positive role in driving agricultural development in China. From 2009 to 2015, the ADL of counties in China showed an upward trend, and the agricultural development within the “Seven regions & Twenty-three belts” reached a high level, with the proportion of the top three districts and counties in the agricultural development zone increasing from 86.78% to 88.72%. The spatial distribution of ADL ratings shows a central > east > northeast > west pattern, with the western regions exhibiting the fastest growth rate. Moreover, targeted policies were provided for pathway optimization and upgrading the level of agricultural development of regions with different levels of development within the seven main agricultural production areas and others.
Terraces play a crucial role in regulating the water cycle. The management and restoration of, and the conservation strategies and plans for basins rely heavily on the assessment of alterations in hydrological characteristics, whether natural or man-made, within these basin systems. This study centers on evaluating the impact of terraces on temporal variations in the hydrological regime within the Laixi River basin, within the context of climate variability. To achieve this, we employed a hydrological model and applied the Indicators of Hydrologic Alteration and Range of Variability Approach (IHA–RVA). The results show that, under the influence of terraces, the annual flow exhibited an overall decreasing trend. There was a noticeable decrease in streamflow from March to July, while from October to December, there was a clear upward trend, with increases ranging from 4.76% to 8.10% at the Guanshenxindi (GSXD) and Watershed outlet (WO) cross-sections. The indicators related to the minimum flow showed an overall increasing trend, whereas all indicators related to the maximum flow exhibited a clear decreasing trend. Both high and low flow pulse counts decreased, while high and low pulse durations increased overall. The overall trend of flow reversal counts also showed a decrease. All hydrological indicators exhibited low levels of alteration, with hydrologic alteration values lower than 33.33%. However, the influence of terraces on the upstream hydrological conditions was more pronounced than their downstream effect. The terraces in the study area have played a beneficial role in the flood regulation, drought mitigation, and water resource conservation of the Laixi River. They have contributed to stabilizing the daily average flow during high flow periods and have had a positive impact on the ecological base flow during low flow periods, thereby improving the aquatic ecological environment. This study provides theoretical support for river regulation within the framework of soil and water conservation measures.