Seasonal influenza is an important disease which results in 250,000-500,000 annual deaths worldwide. Global targets for vaccination coverage rates (VCRs) in high-risk groups are at least 75% in adults ≥65 years and increased coverage in other risk groups. The International Federation of Pharmaceutical Manufacturers and Associations Influenza Vaccine Supply (IFPMA IVS) International Task Force developed a survey methodology in 2008, to assess the global distribution of influenza vaccine doses as a proxy for VCRs. This paper updates the previous survey results on absolute numbers of influenza vaccine doses distributed between 2004 and 2013 inclusive, and dose distribution rates per 1000 population, and provides a qualitative assessment of the principal enablers and barriers to seasonal influenza vaccination. The two main findings from the quantitative portion of the survey are the continued negative trend for dose distribution in the EURO region and the perpetuation of appreciable differences in scale of dose distribution between WHO regions, with no observed convergence in the rates of doses distributed per 1000 population over time. The main findings from the qualitative portion of the survey were that actively managing the vaccination program in real-time and ensuring political commitment to vaccination are important enablers of vaccination, whereas insufficient access to vaccination and lack of political commitment to seasonal influenza vaccination programs are likely contributing to vaccination target failures. In all regions of the world, seasonal influenza vaccination is underutilized as a public health tool. The survey provides evidence of lost opportunity to protect populations against potentially serious influenza-associated disease. We call on the national and international public health communities to re-evaluate their political commitment to the prevention of the annual influenza disease burden and to develop a systematic approach to improve vaccine distribution equitably.

Sustainable demand for seasonal influenza vaccines is a component of national security strategies for pandemic preparedness. However, the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic has revealed many weaknesses in the capacity of countries to design and execute sustainable vaccination programs. An influenza pandemic remains a global threat and yet there is no global monitoring system for assessing progress towards influenza vaccination coverage targets. The International Federation of Pharmaceutical Manufacturers and Associations’ (IFPMA) Influenza Vaccine Supply International Task Force (IVS) developed a survey method in 2008 to estimate seasonal influenza vaccination coverage rates, which in turn serves as a crude estimate of pandemic preparedness. It provides evidence to guide expanded efforts for pandemic preparedness, specifically for increasing COVID-19 vaccine immunization levels. Furthermore, the results presented herein serve as a proxy for assessing the state of pandemic preparedness at a global and regional level. This paper adds data from 2018 and 2019 to the previous analyses. The current data show an upward or stable global trend in seasonal influenza vaccine dose distributed per 1,000 population with a 7% increase between 2017 and 2018 and 6% increase between 2018 and 2019. However, considerable regional inequities in access to vaccine persist. Three regions, Africa, the Middle-east, and Southeast Asia together account for 50% of the global population but only 6% of distributed seasonal influenza vaccine doses. This is an important finding in the context of the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic, as distribution of influenza vaccine doses in many ways reflects access to COVID-19 vaccines. Moreover, improving seasonal vaccine uptake rates is critical for optimizing the annual benefits by reducing the huge annual influenza-associated societal burdens and by providing protection to vulnerable individuals against serious complications from seasonal influenza infections.

The World Health Organization noted that COVID-19 vaccination programmes could be leveraged to deliver influenza vaccination. In 2008, the International Federation of Pharmaceutical Manufacturers and Associations' (IFPMA) Influenza Vaccine Supply International Task Force (IVS) developed a survey method using the number of influenza vaccine doses distributed globally to estimate vaccination coverage rates. Seven hundred and ninety-seven million doses were distributed in 2021, representing a 205% increase over the 262 million doses distributed in 2004, exceeding the number of doses distributed during and after the 2009-2010 influenza pandemic. The most obvious explanation for the global increase is the enabling of critical elements of the vaccine ecosystem by decision-makers during the COVID-19 pandemic to reinforce implementation of influenza vaccination programs. Most of the improvements in performance of influenza programs during the COVID-19 pandemic can be classified in four categories: 1) promoting vaccination using tailored approaches for specific populations; 2) improving convenient access to influenza vaccines in COVID-safe settings; 3) improving reimbursement of seasonal influenza vaccination for priority groups; 4) maintaining the timing of vaccination to the autumn. In spite of the increase in rates of seasonal influenza vaccines distributed during the COVID-19 pandemic, globally, the rate of influenza dose distribution is sub-optimal, and a considerable proportion of the influenza infections remains preventable. To sustain the benefits from increased uptake of influenza vaccines, governments need to sustain the efforts made during the COVID-19 pandemic, and a number of global policy endeavours should be undertaken, including developing a clear global roadmap for achieving influenza control objectives, adopted by a WHA resolution, in line with the strategic objective 3 of the Global Influenza Strategy 2030, embedded in the Immunization Agenda 2030 (IA2030).

Annual influenza vaccination remains critical for mitigating severe illness and reducing healthcare strain, particularly among high-risk populations. Despite advancements in vaccine platforms, the comparative efficacy of novel vaccines—such as high-dose (HD-IIV), recombinant (rIV), cell-based (cIV), and adjuvanted (aIV) influenza vaccines—versus standard-dose non-adjuvanted (SD-IIV) vaccines remains a public health concern. Traditional Relative Vaccine Efficacy (rVE) metrics, though robust, may overestimate population-level benefits. This short communication explores alternative comparative efficacy measures: risk difference (ΔRD) and number needed to vaccinate (ΔNNV). Analysis of data derived from randomized controlled trials (RCTs), or robust pragmatic trials, shows that while rVE values for newer vaccines often indicate superior efficacy, ΔRD and ΔNNV highlight the limits in incremental protection at the population level, with ΔRD generally below 10 cases per 1000 vaccinated. These findings underline the sustained relevance of SD-IIV in immunization programs and emphasize the need for broader vaccine coverage to highlight the benefits of vaccination and enhance population health outcomes.