The need for highly accurate atmospheric wind observations is a high priority in the science community, particularly for numerical weather prediction (NWP). To address this need, this study leverages Aeolus wind lidar level-2B data provided by the European Space Agency (ESA) as a potential comparison standard to better characterize atmospheric motion vector (AMV) bias and uncertainty. AMV products from geostationary (GEO) and low Earth orbiting (LEO) satellites are compared with reprocessed Aeolus horizontal line-of-sight (HLOS) global winds observed in August–September 2019. Winds from two Aeolus observing modes are compared with AMVs, namely Rayleigh-clear (RAY; derived from the molecular scattering signal) and Mie-cloudy (MIE; derived from the particle scattering signal). Quality-controlled (QC'd) Aeolus winds are co-located with QC'd AMVs in space and time, and the AMVs are projected onto the Aeolus HLOS direction. Mean co-location differences (MCDs) and the standard deviation (SD) of those differences (SDCDs) are determined and analyzed. As shown in other comparison studies, the level of agreement between AMV and Aeolus wind velocities (HLOSVs) varies with the AMV type, geographic region, and height of the co-located winds, as well as with the Aeolus observing mode. In terms of global statistics, QC'd AMVs and QC'd Aeolus HLOSVs are highly correlated for both observing modes. Aeolus MIE winds are shown to have great potential value as a comparison standard to characterize AMVs, as MIE co-locations generally exhibit smaller biases and uncertainties compared to RAY co-locations. Aeolus RAY winds contribute a substantial fraction of the total SDCDs in the presence of clouds where co-location/representativeness errors are also large. Stratified comparisons with Aeolus HLOSVs are consistent with known AMV bias and uncertainty in the tropics, NH extratropics, the Arctic, and at mid- to upper-levels in clear and cloudy scenes. AMVs in the SH/Antarctic generally exhibit larger-than-expected MCDs and SDCDs, most probably due to larger AMV height assignment errors and co-location/representativeness errors in the presence of high wind speeds and strong vertical wind shear, particularly for RAY comparisons.
The European Space Agency Aeolus mission launched a first-of-its-kind spaceborne Doppler wind lidar in August 2018. To optimize the assimilation of the Aeolus Level-2B (B10) horizontal line-of-sight (HLOS) winds, significant systematic differences between the observations and numerical weather prediction (NWP) background winds should be removed. Total least squares (TLS) regression is used to estimate speed-dependent systematic differences between the Aeolus HLOS winds and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Finite-Volume Cubed-Sphere Global Forecast System (FV3GFS) 6 h forecast winds. Unlike ordinary least squares regression, TLS regression optimally accounts for random errors in both predictors and predictands. Large, well-defined, speed-dependent systematic differences are found in the lower stratosphere and troposphere in the tropics and Southern Hemisphere. Correction of these systematic differences improves the forecast impact of Aeolus data assimilated into the NOAA global NWP system.
27 January 2023 in Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres
Atmospheric motion vector (AMV) winds have positive impacts in operational numerical weather prediction (NWP) systems. These impacts might be improved with better treatment of the following error characteristics of AMVs. First, AMVs may have wind errors due to height assignment errors. Second, AMVs may have additional wind‐speed biases in addition to those due to height assignment errors. Third, AMVs are representative of motion in a possibly thick atmospheric layer, not a single atmospheric level. Previous work proposed a variational feature track correction (FTC) method in which an observation operator is implemented that averages the NWP background winds optimally in the vertical. Here, a prototype feature track correction observation operator (FTC‐OO) is implemented in the NOAA/NCEP data assimilation (DA) system. The parameters describing the vertical averaging are determined offline based on previous DA cycles. The FTC‐OO reduces the observation minus background standard deviation by about 4%. Global observing‐system experiments (OSEs) are performed comparing the FTC‐OO with the operational observation operator. The forecast verification sample is 41 10‐day forecasts. The OSEs show that the FTC‐OO improves forecast skill, primarily for tropical geopotential height. Additional OSEs are performed that include Aeolus wind observations. The hypothesis that the Aeolus winds would enhance the impact of the FTC‐OO was not borne out in these experiments—the Aeolus observations alone have a significant positive impact, but the impact of the FTC method in the presence of the Aeolus observations is neither enhanced nor degraded compared with the impact of the FTC method alone.
The European Space Agency Aeolus mission launched the first of its kind spaceborne Doppler wind lidar in August 2018. To optimize assimilation of the Aeolus Level-2B (L2B) Horizontal Line-of-Sight (HLOS) winds, systematic differences (referred as biases hereafter) between the observations and numerical weather prediction (NWP) background winds should be removed. Total least squares (TLS) regression is used to estimate speed-dependent biases between Aeolus HLOS winds (L2B10) and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Finite-Volume Cubed-Sphere Global Forecast System (FV3GFS) 6-h forecast winds. Unlike ordinary least squares regression, TLS regression optimally accounts for random errors in both predictors and predictands. Large well-defined, speed-dependent biases are found particularly in the lower stratosphere and troposphere of the tropics and Southern Hemisphere. These large biases should be corrected to increase the forecast impact of Aeolus data assimilated into global NWP systems.
Accurate atmospheric 3D wind observations are one of the top priorities for the global scientific community. To address this requirement, and to support researchers’ needs to acquire and analyze wind data from multiple sources, the System for Analysis of Wind Collocations (SAWC) was jointly developed by NOAA/NESDIS/STAR, UMD/ESSIC/CISESS, and UW-Madison/CIMSS. SAWC encompasses the following: a multi-year archive of global 3D winds observed by Aeolus, sondes, aircraft, stratospheric superpressure balloons, and satellite-derived atmospheric motion vectors, archived and uniformly formatted in netCDF for public consumption; identified pairings between select datasets collocated in space and time; and a downloadable software application developed for users to interactively collocate and statistically compare wind observations based on their research needs. The utility of SAWC is demonstrated by conducting a one-year (September 2019–August 2020) evaluation of Aeolus level-2B (L2B) winds (Baseline 11 L2B processor version). Observations from four archived conventional wind datasets are collocated with Aeolus. The recommended quality controls are applied. Wind comparisons are assessed using the SAWC collocation application. Comparison statistics are stratified by season, geographic region, and Aeolus observing mode. The results highlight the value of SAWC’s capabilities, from product validation through intercomparison studies to the evaluation of data usage in applications and advances in the global Earth observing architecture.