Park SW, et al. J Korean Med Sci. 2024 Jan;39:e53. https://doi.org/10.3346/jkms.2024.39.e53

Background: Vancomycin pharmacokinetics are highly variable in patients with critical illnesses, and clinicians commonly use population pharmacokinetic (PPK) models based on a Bayesian approach to dose. However, these models are population-dependent, may only sometimes meet the needs of individual patients, and are only used by experienced clinicians as a reference for making treatment decisions. To assist real-world clinicians, we developed a deep learning–based decision-making system that predicts vancomycin therapeutic drug monitoring (TDM) levels in patients in intensive care unit. Objective: This study aimed to establish joint multilayer perceptron (JointMLP), a new deep-learning model for predicting vancomycin TDM levels, and compare its performance with the PPK models, extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), and TabNet. Methods: We used a 977-case data set split into training and testing groups in a 9:1 ratio. We performed external validation of the model using 1429 cases from Kangwon National University Hospital and 2394 cases from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care–IV (MIMIC-IV). In addition, we performed 10-fold cross-validation on the internal training data set and calculated the 95% CIs using the metric. Finally, we evaluated the generalization ability of the JointMLP model using the MIMIC-IV data set. Results: Our JointMLP model outperformed other models in predicting vancomycin TDM levels in internal and external data sets. Compared to PPK, the JointMLP model improved predictive power by up to 31% (mean absolute error [MAE] 6.68 vs 5.11) on the internal data set and 81% (MAE 11.87 vs 6.56) on the external data set. In addition, the JointMLP model significantly outperforms XGBoost and TabNet, with a 13% (MAE 5.75 vs 5.11) and 14% (MAE 5.85 vs 5.11) improvement in predictive accuracy on the inner data set, respectively. On both the internal and external data sets, our JointMLP model performed well compared to XGBoost and TabNet, achieving prediction accuracy improvements of 34% and 14%, respectively. Additionally, our JointMLP model showed higher robustness to outlier data than the other models, as evidenced by its higher root mean squared error performance across all data sets. The mean errors and variances of the JointMLP model were close to zero and smaller than those of the PPK model in internal and external data sets. Conclusions: Our JointMLP approach can help optimize treatment outcomes in patients with critical illnesses in an intensive care unit setting, reducing side effects associated with suboptimal vancomycin administration. These include increased risk of bacterial resistance, extended hospital stays, and increased health care costs. In addition, the superior performance of our model compared to existing models highlights its potential to help real-world clinicians.

Pressure ulcers (PUs) are a prevalent skin disease affecting patients with impaired mobility and in high-risk groups. These ulcers increase patients’ suffering, medical expenses, and burden on medical staff. This study introduces a clinical decision support system and verifies it for predicting real-time PU occurrences within the intensive care unit (ICU) by using MIMIC-IV and in-house ICU data. We develop various machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) models for predicting PU occurrences in real time using the MIMIC-IV and validate using the MIMIC-IV and Kangwon National University Hospital (KNUH) dataset. To address the challenge of missing values in time series, we propose a novel recurrent neural network model, GRU-D++. This model outperformed other experimental models by achieving the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of 0.945 for the on-time prediction and AUROC of 0.912 for 48h in-advance prediction. Furthermore, in the external validation with the KNUH dataset, the fine-tuned GRU-D++ model demonstrated superior performances, achieving an AUROC of 0.898 for on-time prediction and an AUROC of 0.897 for 48h in-advance prediction. The proposed GRU-D++, designed to consider temporal information and missing values, stands out for its predictive accuracy. Our findings suggest that this model can significantly alleviate the workload of medical staff and prevent the worsening of patient conditions by enabling timely interventions for PUs in the ICU.

Objective: Therapeutic drug monitoring (TDM) is essential for managing medication dosages in critically ill patients, particularly for antibiotics such as vancomycin. The dynamic physiological conditions of critically ill patients require frequent monitoring of vancomycin levels to ensure therapeutic therapeutic efficacy while minimizing toxicity. Traditional Bayesian methods and pharmacokinetic (PK) models often fail because of the complex and unpredictable nature of these patients’ conditions, as well as the limitations of standard PK modeling. Methods and procedures: This study aimed to establish a gated recurrent unit (GRU)-integrated joint multilayer perceptron network (GointMLP) model to predict sequential vancomycin TDM levels in patients in the intensive care unit. The proposed model consists of three modules to maintain consistent therapeutic vancomycin concentrations while accommodating individual patient differences. By integrating regression and classification predictions, GointMLP provides a dual mechanism for clinicians to verify the reliability of predicted values for informed decision-making. Additionally, we have developed DeepTDM, a comprehensive decision support system designed for real-time vancomycin dose optimization to enhance clinical outcomes. Results: The GointMLP provides more accurate predictions compared to traditional PK models and other machine learning/deep learning approaches. This superior performance is demonstrated not only in local validation cohorts but also in the ethnically diverse MIMIC-IV dataset, validating the model’s robust generalizability. Conclusion: This work addresses the limitations of current methodologies while leveraging advancements in deep learning techniques, particularly demonstrating the effectiveness of GointMLP in enhancing patient outcomes through precise TDM. Efforts are underway to integrate DeepTDM into clinical practice, with the anticipation that it will not only support clinicians in decision-making but also substantially improve therapeutic outcomes for patients undergoing vancomycin therapy. Clinical and Translational Impact Statement: The proposed model and software enable individualized vancomycin dosing for critically ill patients, improving precision dosing and supporting seamless integration into clinical workflows.

BACKGROUND Vancomycin pharmacokinetics are highly variable in patients with critical illnesses, and clinicians commonly use population pharmacokinetic (PPK) models based on a Bayesian approach to dose. However, these models are population-dependent, may only sometimes meet the needs of individual patients, and are only used by experienced clinicians as a reference for making treatment decisions. To assist real-world clinicians, we developed a deep learning–based decision-making system that predicts vancomycin therapeutic drug monitoring (TDM) levels in patients in intensive care unit. OBJECTIVE This study aimed to establish joint multilayer perceptron (JointMLP), a new deep-learning model for predicting vancomycin TDM levels, and compare its performance with the PPK models, extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), and TabNet. METHODS We used a 977-case data set split into training and testing groups in a 9:1 ratio. We performed external validation of the model using 1429 cases from Kangwon National University Hospital and 2394 cases from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care–IV (MIMIC-IV). In addition, we performed 10-fold cross-validation on the internal training data set and calculated the 95% CIs using the metric. Finally, we evaluated the generalization ability of the JointMLP model using the MIMIC-IV data set. RESULTS Our JointMLP model outperformed other models in predicting vancomycin TDM levels in internal and external data sets. Compared to PPK, the JointMLP model improved predictive power by up to 31% (mean absolute error [MAE] 6.68 vs 5.11) on the internal data set and 81% (MAE 11.87 vs 6.56) on the external data set. In addition, the JointMLP model significantly outperforms XGBoost and TabNet, with a 13% (MAE 5.75 vs 5.11) and 14% (MAE 5.85 vs 5.11) improvement in predictive accuracy on the inner data set, respectively. On both the internal and external data sets, our JointMLP model performed well compared to XGBoost and TabNet, achieving prediction accuracy improvements of 34% and 14%, respectively. Additionally, our JointMLP model showed higher robustness to outlier data than the other models, as evidenced by its higher root mean squared error performance across all data sets. The mean errors and variances of the JointMLP model were close to zero and smaller than those of the PPK model in internal and external data sets. CONCLUSIONS Our JointMLP approach can help optimize treatment outcomes in patients with critical illnesses in an intensive care unit setting, reducing side effects associated with suboptimal vancomycin administration. These include increased risk of bacterial resistance, extended hospital stays, and increased health care costs. In addition, the superior performance of our model compared to existing models highlights its potential to help real-world clinicians.