Nicholas Murray

Mr. Nicholas Murray


Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

15Years (2012-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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19 December 2018 in Nature
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Journal Article
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NMNicholas Murray
Nicholas Murray
SPStuart R. Phinn
Stuart R. Phinn
MDMichael DeWitt
Michael DeWitt
RFRenata Ferrari
Renata Ferrari
RJRenee Johnston
Renee Johnston
RFRichard A. Fuller
Richard A. Fuller

30 July 2022 in Remote Sensing
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Journal Article
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Pete BuntingPete Bunting
Pete Bunting
Ake RosenqvistAke Rosenqvist
Ake Rosenqvist
LHLammert Hilarides
Lammert Hilarides
RLRichard Lucas
Richard Lucas
NTNathan Marc Thomas
Nathan Marc Thomas
LRLisa-Maria Rebelo
Lisa-Maria Rebelo
Mangroves are a globally important ecosystem that provides a wide range of ecosystem system services, such as carbon capture and storage, coastal protection and fisheries enhancement. Mangroves have significantly reduced in global extent over the last 50 years, primarily as a result of deforestation caused by the expansion of agriculture and aquaculture in coastal environments. However, a limited number of studies have attempted to estimate changes in global mangrove extent, particularly into the 1990s, despite much of the loss in mangrove extent occurring pre-2000. This study has used L-band Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) global mosaic datasets from the Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency (JAXA) for 11 epochs from 1996 to 2020 to develop a long-term time-series of global mangrove extent and change. The study used a map-to-image approach to change detection where the baseline map (GMW v2.5) was updated using thresholding and a contextual mangrove change mask. This approach was applied between all image-date pairs producing 10 maps for each epoch, which were summarised to produce the global mangrove time-series. The resulting mangrove extent maps had an estimated accuracy of 87.4% (95th conf. int.: 86.2–88.6%), although the accuracies of the individual gain and loss change classes were lower at 58.1% (52.4–63.9%) and 60.6% (56.1–64.8%), respectively. Sources of error included misregistration in the SAR mosaic datasets, which could only be partially corrected for, but also confusion in fragmented areas of mangroves, such as around aquaculture ponds. Overall, 152,604 km2 (133,996–176,910) of mangroves were identified for 1996, with this decreasing by −5245 km2 (−13,587–1444) resulting in a total extent of 147,359 km2 (127,925–168,895) in 2020, and representing an estimated loss of 3.4% over the 24-year time period. The Global Mangrove Watch Version 3.0 represents the most comprehensive record of global mangrove change achieved to date and is expected to support a wide range of activities, including the ongoing monitoring of the global coastal environment, defining and assessments of progress toward conservation targets, protected area planning and risk assessments of mangrove ecosystems worldwide.

13 April 2017 in Nature Communications
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CSColin E. Studds
Colin E. Studds
BKBruce E. Kendall
Bruce E. Kendall
NMNicholas Murray
Nicholas Murray
HWHoward B. Wilson
Howard B. Wilson
DRDanny I. Rogers
Danny I. Rogers
RFRichard Fuller
Richard Fuller
Migratory animals are threatened by human-induced global change. However, little is known about how stopover habitat, essential for refuelling during migration, affects the population dynamics of migratory species. Using 20 years of continent-wide citizen science data, we assess population trends of ten shorebird taxa that refuel on Yellow Sea tidal mudflats, a threatened ecosystem that has shrunk by >65% in recent decades. Seven of the taxa declined at rates of up to 8% per year. Taxa with the greatest reliance on the Yellow Sea as a stopover site showed the greatest declines, whereas those that stop primarily in other regions had slowly declining or stable populations. Decline rate was unaffected by shared evolutionary history among taxa and was not predicted by migration distance, breeding range size, non-breeding location, generation time or body size. These results suggest that changes in stopover habitat can severely limit migratory populations.

13 May 2022 in Science
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Journal Article
Closed access
NMNicholas Murray
Nicholas Murray
TWThomas Worthington
Thomas Worthington
Pete BuntingPete Bunting
Pete Bunting
SDStephanie Duce
Stephanie Duce
VHValerie Hagger
Valerie Hagger
MLMitchell Lyons
Mitchell Lyons
Tidal wetlands are expected to respond dynamically to global environmental change, but the extent to which wetland losses have been offset by gains remains poorly understood. We developed a global analysis of satellite data to simultaneously monitor change in three highly interconnected intertidal ecosystem types—tidal flats, tidal marshes, and mangroves—from 1999 to 2019. Globally, 13,700 square kilometers of tidal wetlands have been lost, but these have been substantially offset by gains of 9700 km 2 , leading to a net change of −4000 km 2 over two decades. We found that 27% of these losses and gains were associated with direct human activities such as conversion to agriculture and restoration of lost wetlands. All other changes were attributed to indirect drivers, including the effects of coastal processes and climate change.

8 May 2014 in Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment
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Journal Article
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NMNicholas Murray
Nicholas Murray
RCRobert S Clemens
Robert S Clemens
SPStuart R Phinn
Stuart R Phinn
HPHugh Philip Possingham
Hugh Philip Possingham
RFRichard Fuller
Richard Fuller

8 December 2020 in Nature Communications
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HGHedley Grantham
Hedley Grantham
ADA. Duncan
A. Duncan
TET. D. Evans
T. D. Evans
KJK. R. Jones
K. R. Jones
HBH. L. Beyer
H. L. Beyer
JWJames Watson
James Watson
Many global environmental agendas, including halting biodiversity loss, reversing land degradation, and limiting climate change, depend upon retaining forests with high ecological integrity, yet the scale and degree of forest modification remain poorly quantified and mapped. By integrating data on observed and inferred human pressures and an index of lost connectivity, we generate a globally consistent, continuous index of forest condition as determined by the degree of anthropogenic modification. Globally, only 17.4 million km2 of forest (40.5%) has high landscape-level integrity (mostly found in Canada, Russia, the Amazon, Central Africa, and New Guinea) and only 27% of this area is found in nationally designated protected areas. Of the forest inside protected areas, only 56% has high landscape-level integrity. Ambitious policies that prioritize the retention of forest integrity, especially in the most intact areas, are now urgently needed alongside current efforts aimed at halting deforestation and restoring the integrity of forests globally.