Structures inevitably suffer damage after an earthquake, with severity ranging from minimal damage of nonstructural elements to partial or even total collapse, possibly with loss of human lives. Thus, it is essential for engineers to understand the crucial factors that drive a structure towards suffering higher degrees of damage in order for preventative measures to be taken. In the present study, we focus on three well-known damage thresholds: the Collapse Limit State, Ultimate Limit State, and Serviceability Limit State. We analyze the features obtained via Rapid Visual Screening to determine whether or not a given structure crosses these thresholds. To this end, we use machine learning to perform binary classification for each damage threshold, and use explainability to quantify the effect of each parameter via SHAP values (SHapley Additive exPlanations). The quantitative results that we obtain demonstrate the potential applicability of ML methods for recalibrating the computation of structural vulnerability indices using data from recent earthquakes.
A variety of structural members and non-structural components, including bridge piers, museum artifacts, furniture, or electrical and mechanical equipment, can uplift and rock under ground motion excitations. Given the inherently non-linear nature of rocking behavior, employing machine learning algorithms to predict rocking response presents a notable challenge. In the present study, the performance of supervised ML algorithms in predicting the maximum seismic response of free-standing rigid blocks subjected to ground motion excitations is evaluated. As such, both regression and classification algorithms were developed and tested, aiming to model the finite rocking response and rocking overturn. From this point of view, it is essential to estimate the maximum rocking rotation and to efficiently classify its magnitude by successfully assigning respective labels. To this end, a dataset containing the response data of 1100 rigid blocks subjected to 15,000 ground motion excitations, was employed. The results showed high accuracy in both the classification ( accuracy) and regression (coefficient of determination ) tasks.
This study emphasizes the explainability of machine learning (ML) models in predicting the seismic response of rigid rocking structures, specifically using the LightGBM algorithm. By employing SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP), partial dependence plots (PDP), and accumulated local effects (ALE), a comprehensive feature importance analysis has been performed. This revealed that ground motion parameters, particularly peak ground acceleration (PGA), are critical for predicting small rotations, while structural parameters like slenderness and frequency are more significant for larger rotations. Utilizing an extensive dataset generated from nonlinear time history analyses, the trained LightGBM model demonstrated high accuracy in estimating the maximum rotation angle of rigid blocks under natural ground motions. The study also examined the sensitivity of model performance to lower bound thresholds of the target variable, revealing that reduced feature sets can maintain predictive performance effectively. These findings advance ML-based modeling of seismic rocking responses, providing interpretable and accurate models that enhance our understanding of rocking structures’ dynamic behavior, which is crucial for designing resilient structures and improving seismic risk assessments. Future research will focus on incorporating additional parameters and exploring advanced ML techniques to further refine these models.
Seismic vulnerability assessment is one of the most impactful engineering challenges faced by modern societies. Thus, authorities require a reliable tool that has the potential to rank given structures according to their seismic vulnerability. Various countries and organizations over the past decades have developed Rapid Visual Screening (RVS) tools aiming to efficiently estimate vulnerability indices. In general, RVS tools employ a set of structural features and their associated weights to obtain a vulnerability index, which can be used for ranking. In this paper, Machine Learning (ML) models are implemented within this framework. The proposed formulation is used to train binary classifiers in conjunction with ad hoc rules, employing the features of various Codes (e.g., the Federal Emergency Management Agency, New Zealand, and Canada). The efficiency of this modeling effort is evaluated for each Code separately and it is clearly demonstrated that ML-based models are capable of outperforming currently established engineering practices. Furthermore, in the spirit of the aforementioned Codes, a linearization of the fully trained ML model is proposed. ML feature attribution techniques, namely SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) are employed to introduce weights similar to engineering practices. The promising results motivate the potential applicability of this methodology towards the recalibration of the RVS procedures for various types of cases.
The fundamental period is one of the most important parameters for the design of new structures as well as for estimating the capacity of existing ones. Thus, to estimate it, various design codes and researchers have adopted several approximate analytical equations based on a number of key structural parameters. To this end, the present study introduces a novel methodology for deriving the analytical equations for the fundamental period of reinforced concrete structures. The methodology is based on machine learning explainability techniques, specifically the so-called SHapley Additive exPlanations values. These values are commonly employed as an explainability tool. However, in the proposed novel approach they are employed as a basis to fit analytical curves, which allows the resulting equations to be constructed sequentially and in an informed manner while controlling the balance between accuracy and complexity. An extended dataset consisting of 4026 data points is employed, on which a Gradient Boosting Machine model is fitted. The model achieves excellent accuracy, with a coefficient of determination , while the equations derived from the proposed formulation achieve an and Mean Absolute Error . This demonstrates the potential applicability of the proposed methodology in a wide array of similar engineering challenges.
One of the most critical aspects in the seismic behavior or reinforced concrete (RC) structures pertains to beam–column joints. Modern seismic design codes dictate that, if failure is to occur, then this should be the ductile yielding of the beam and not brittle shear failure of the joint, which can lead to sudden collapse and loss of human lives. To this end, it is imperative to be able to predict the failure mode of RC joints for a large number of structures in a building stock. In this research effort, various ensemble machine learning algorithms were employed to develop novel, robust classification models. A dataset comprising 486 measurements from real experiments was utilized. The performance of the employed classifiers was assessed using Precision, Recall, F1-Score, and overall Accuracy indices. N-fold cross-validation was employed to enhance generalization. Moreover, the obtained models were compared to the available engineering ones currently adopted by many international organizations and researchers. The novel ensemble models introduced in this research were proven to perform much better by improving the obtained accuracy by 12–18%. The obtained metrics also presented small variability among the examined failure modes, indicating unbiased models. Overall, the results indicate that the proposed methodologies can be confidently employed for the prediction of the failure mode of RC joints.